Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 8.09 ETH at 1922.3$ per unit. Take profit: 1924.2786 (0.1 %) & Stop Loss: 1921.3107 (0.051 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 8.09 ETH at 1922.3$ per unit. Take profit: 1924.2786 (0.1 %) & Stop Loss: 1921.3107 (0.051 %)
Position
Entry 1922.3$
Qty 8.0866 ETH
Size 15544.8268$ (margin 100$) (leverage 155)
Risk Setup
TP 1924.2786 (+0.1%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1921.3107 (-0.051%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2411
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -2.69×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.89×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.80×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.549765 15m : 0.670237 |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 13:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5107 | r1h: 0.010% · r4h: 0.057% · r1d: 0.04% · r3d: 0.56% · ema21_slope: 0.0150% · dist_ema21: 0.210% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4966 | rs_1h: 0.010% · rs_4h: 0.048% · rs_1d: -0.13% · rs_3d: -0.39% · beta_24h: 0.843 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1946 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.486 · trend: -29.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5872 | ADX: 25.4 (trend) · Chop: 53.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7288 | ATR%: 0.219% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.005% | 0.1R | -0.130% | 2.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.005% | 0.1R | -0.187% | 3.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.692% | 13.4R | -0.245% | 4.8R | 2.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.791% | 15.4R | -0.890% | 17.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.791% | 15.4R | -0.890% | 17.3R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 32% | late | — | — | 0.91 | bear_high | -2.96% | +0.12 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.88 | bull_medium | +1.43% | -0.00 | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -2.7ATR | 0.85 | bull_low | +0.76% | -0.01 | 09/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.68 | range_low | +0.26% | -0.01 | 09/08 14:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 44b | — | 7.534×ATR | p87 | +0.296×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 38b | — | 7.251×ATR | p97 | +0.45×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.686×ATR | p56 | +0.441×ATR | p52 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.055×ATR | p0 | -0.526×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65096.9
0.00112275
65170
0.549765
65009
0.00247615
65170
0.670237
64797.9
0.00574112
65170
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1912.7
190
0.7423
0.6095
0.3375
0.2429
0.415
0.92
0.4535
0.5359
0.7055
0.3528
0.6549
0.8099
0.1315
0.088
1
0.8349
1.7912
0.65
0.35
1
54
1
0.5143
0.6183
3.4691
0.55
0.92
2.6861
1.7912
0.5922
0.2397
0.22
0.0312
0.4651
0.5499
0.715
0.8099
-4.4395
18.9163
1
0
3
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:12 | 1922.30000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:18 | 1921.50000000 | -0.042% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 13:25:00 | 1925 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:05:00 | 1925.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:15:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:55:00 | 1926.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:25:00 | 1920.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:45:00 | 1925.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 1922.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:20:00 | 1924.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:40:00 | 1924.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:10:00 | 1922.3 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 1911.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 1915.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 04:45:00 | 1912.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 1924.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 09:15:00 | 1912.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 10:00:00 | 1921.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 1916 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:15:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:15:00 | 1920.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:00:00 | 1922.3 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 08:00:00 | 1918.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 1892 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 1918.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 1893.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 1939.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 1904.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 02:00:00 | 1911.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 1925.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 1911.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 1927 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1922.3 | 1921.3107 | 1924.2786 | 2 | 2290.3 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1921.3107 - 1922.3 = -0.98929999999996
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1922.3 - 1924.2786 = -1.9786000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9786000000001 / -0.98929999999996 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15544.8268 | 100 | 8.0866 | 155.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.98929999999996 = -8.09
Taille de position USD = -8.09 x 1922.3 = -15551.41
Donc, tu peux acheter -8.09 avec un stoploss a 1921.3107
Avec un position size USD de -15551.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8.09 x -0.98929999999996 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8.09 x -1.9786000000001 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.1 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.051 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1301 % | 252.62 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1922.3 | 1921.3107 | 1924.2786 | 2 | 2290.3 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1921.3107 - 1922.3 = -0.98929999999996
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1922.3 - 1924.2786 = -1.9786000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9786000000001 / -0.98929999999996 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.005% | 0.1R | -0.130% | 2.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.005% | 0.1R | -0.187% | 3.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.692% | 13.4R | -0.245% | 4.8R | 2.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.791% | 15.4R | -0.890% | 17.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.791% | 15.4R | -0.890% | 17.3R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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