Long Trade on VVV

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09 Aug 2026 at 15:10:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 21.55 VVV at 11.798$ per unit. Take profit: 12.093 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 11.4267 (3.15 %)

VVV LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 15:10 → 17:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 11.798$

Qty 21.547 VVV

Size 254.2111$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 12.093 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.36$

SL 11.4267 (-3.15%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.79

Status loss PnL -0.27% / -0.69$ MAE -0.47% MFE +1.14% 0.4R expires 09 Aug 17:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=14 > threshold=10/42

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 63786)

#2 / 39 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8526

Quality Score

0.737

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

1 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 15:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#2 / 39 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-2

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.15 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#2 / 39 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.15 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.39×ATR
4h	clear	2.23×ATR
1d	clear	5.85×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	OK
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 15:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 15:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 14:00 Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

08/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

09/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

09/08 14:00

Score : -2 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.7366

Score SMA

0.5369

Rank

#2 / 39

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8526

Rank Norm SMA

0.4325

Calculé le

09/08/2026 15:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6921	r1h: 1.088% · r4h: 3.266% · r1d: 5.73% · r3d: 4.35% · ema21_slope: 0.1974% · dist_ema21: 3.445%
Force Relative	25%	0.7079	rs_1h: 1.055% · rs_4h: 3.340% · rs_1d: 5.47% · rs_3d: 3.12% · beta_24h: 0.448
Volume	20%	0.6654	rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: 1.234 · trend: 117.27%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7927	ADX: 35.1 (trend) · Chop: 18.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.334% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 2.2h) Initial Risk: -3.147% (0.3713)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.136%	0.4R	-0.373%	0.1R	3.1×	12
2h	+1.136%	0.4R	-0.458%	0.2R	2.5×	24
2.2h ★	+1.136%	0.4R	-0.475%	0.2R	2.4×	25
4h	+1.136%	0.4R	-1.899%	0.6R	0.6×	48
8h	+1.136%	0.4R	-2.094%	0.7R	0.5×	96
12h	+2.517%	0.8R	-2.094%	0.7R	1.2×	144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 2.34

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 42%	early	near 0.2ATR	—	0.43	bear_high	-2.57%	+0.21	08/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 41%	late	—	—	0.47	bull_medium	+1.40%	+0.25	09/08 12:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	63%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	near -0.4ATR	0.46	range_low	+0.72%	+0.55	09/08 14:00
15m	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 49%	early	—	—	0.05	range_low	+0.28%	+0.25	09/08 14:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	14b	—	3.382×ATR	p44	+0.229×ATR	p25
4h	↑ up	late	4b	—	3.126×ATR	p26	+1.537×ATR	p94
1h	↓ down	late	2b	—	0×ATR	p0	+1.986×ATR	p98
15m	↓ down	early	2b	—	1.656×ATR	p12	+0.536×ATR	p52

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 11.42671798
tp_price: 12.09295
atr: 0.14851281
expires_at: 2026-08-10T01:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 5
total: 40
score: 0.6921
delta_2h: 0.1369
extension_atr: 1.86
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8526
confidence: 0.947

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	15:10	11.79800000	0%
2	16:10	11.81900000	+0.178%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
11.798	11.4267	12.093	0.79	14.563

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 11.798
Stop Loss: 11.4267
Take Profit: 12.093

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 11.4267 - 11.798 = -0.3713
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 11.798 - 12.093 = -0.295
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.295 / -0.3713 = 0.7945

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
254.2111	100	21.547	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.3713

Taille de position = 8 / -0.3713 = -21.55

Taille de position USD = -21.55 x 11.798 = -254.25

Donc, tu peux acheter -21.55 avec un stoploss a 11.4267

Avec un position size USD de -254.25$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -21.55 x -0.3713 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -21.55 x -0.295 = 6.36

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.36$

Résumé

Taille de position -21.55
Taille de position USD -254.25
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 6.36
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7945

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	6.36 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.15 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-0.69 $	-0.27

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.4577 %	14.54 %	7

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
11.798	11.4267	12.093	0.79	14.563

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 11.798
Stop Loss: 11.4267
Take Profit: 12.093

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 11.4267 - 11.798 = -0.3713
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 11.798 - 12.093 = -0.295
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.295 / -0.3713 = 0.7945

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 2.2h) Initial Risk: -3.147% (0.3713)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.136%	0.4R	-0.373%	0.1R	3.1×	12
2h	+1.136%	0.4R	-0.458%	0.2R	2.5×	24
2.2h ★	+1.136%	0.4R	-0.475%	0.2R	2.4×	25
4h	+1.136%	0.4R	-1.899%	0.6R	0.6×	48
8h	+1.136%	0.4R	-2.094%	0.7R	0.5×	96
12h	+2.517%	0.8R	-2.094%	0.7R	1.2×	144

computed 1 week ago

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