Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.59 BTC at 65159$ per unit. Take profit: 65186.1965 (0.042 %) & Stop Loss: 65145.4017 (0.021 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.59 BTC at 65159$ per unit. Take profit: 65186.1965 (0.042 %) & Stop Loss: 65145.4017 (0.021 %)
Position
Entry 65159$
Qty 0.5883 BTC
Size 38333.7503$ (margin 100$) (leverage 383)
Risk Setup
TP 65186.1965 (+0.042%)
TP $ 16$
SL 65145.4017 (-0.021%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2697
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -3.58×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.32×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.74×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 15:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 15:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5126 | r1h: 0.034% · r4h: -0.074% · r1d: 0.26% · r3d: 1.23% · ema21_slope: 0.0164% · dist_ema21: 0.254% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2250 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.544 · trend: -15.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7092 | ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 34.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4675 | ATR%: 0.140% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.009% | 0.4R | -0.180% | 8.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.101% | 4.9R | -0.180% | 8.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.485% | 23.2R | -0.526% | 25.2R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.485% | 23.2R | -0.583% | 28.0R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.485% | 23.2R | -0.583% | 28.0R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -1.7ATR | — | — | — | — | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | near -1.3ATR | — | — | — | — | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -3.6ATR | — | — | — | — | 09/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_low |
38%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -1.3ATR | — | — | — | — | — | 09/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 1.283×ATR | p0 | +0.495×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 38b | — | 8.534×ATR | p97 | +0.734×ATR | p71 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 5.393×ATR | p92 | +0.61×ATR | p61 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 2.277×ATR | p21 | -0.301×ATR | p32 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[1] => 64883
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[1] => 65168
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[1] => 64700
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[detected_trend] => range
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14862255998529
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.72488408037094
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.87480680061824
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 04:15:00
[1] => 64800
[2] => H
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 05:45:00
[1] => 64748
[2] => L
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[3] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 08:15:00
[1] => 64909
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 08:45:00
[1] => 64758
[2] => L
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[5] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 11:30:00
[1] => 64969
[2] => H
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[6] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 12:00:00
[1] => 64884
[2] => L
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[7] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 14:45:00
[1] => 65266
[2] => H
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[8] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 16:15:00
[1] => 65148
[2] => L
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[9] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 18:15:00
[1] => 65154
[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16394447338584
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.007674125917058
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.0092097992263769
[ms_bos_up] => 1
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[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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Array
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[2] => L
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[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 16:35:00
[1] => 65236
[2] => H
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 17:00:00
[1] => 65185
[2] => L
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[3] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 17:25:00
[1] => 65200
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[1] => 65154
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[5] => Array
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[1] => 65192
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[1] => 65158
[2] => L
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[7] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 19:20:00
[1] => 65187
[2] => H
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[8] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 19:30:00
[1] => 65187
[2] => H
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[9] => Array
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[1] => 65159
[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => range
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[ms_trend_state] => 0
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.042971807424914
[ms_bos_up] => 0
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[ms_choch_up] => 0
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64700
183
0.7453
0.5435
0.2757
0.2287
0.3142
0.6842
0.6403
0.481
0.6827
0.2821
0.5386
0.8758
0.2339
0.1417
1
1.7129
3.0983
0.6
0.4
1
55
1
0.5426
0.3744
5.2375
0.5
0.6842
3.5835
3.0983
0.7316
0.3061
0.16
-0.0208
0.476
0.4881
0.5815
0.8758
-2.3816
16.7985
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:48 | 65159.00000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:06 | 65126.00000000 | -0.051% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 16:25:00 | 65148 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:35:00 | 65236 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 65185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:25:00 | 65200 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 65154 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:30:00 | 65192 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:10:00 | 65158 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:20:00 | 65187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:30:00 | 65187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:45:00 | 65159 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 03:15:00 | 64700 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 64800 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:45:00 | 64748 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 64909 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 08:45:00 | 64758 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 11:30:00 | 64969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 64884 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:45:00 | 65266 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:15:00 | 65148 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 65154 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 02:00:00 | 64518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 64137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 64484 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 65063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 65045 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 64883 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 65168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 64700 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 65266 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65159 | 65145.4017 | 65186.1965 | 2 | 68662 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 65145.4017 - 65159 = -13.598299999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 65159 - 65186.1965 = -27.196499999998
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -27.196499999998 / -13.598299999998 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38333.7503 | 100 | 0.5883 | 383.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -13.598299999998 = -0.59
Taille de position USD = -0.59 x 65159 = -38443.81
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.59 avec un stoploss a 65145.4017
Avec un position size USD de -38443.81$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.59 x -13.598299999998 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.59 x -27.196499999998 = 16.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.05$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.042 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.021 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.02 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0476 % | 227.75 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65159 | 65145.4017 | 65186.1965 | 2 | 68662 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 65145.4017 - 65159 = -13.598299999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 65159 - 65186.1965 = -27.196499999998
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -27.196499999998 / -13.598299999998 = 2
Array
(
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Array
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[take_profit] => 65186.1965
[entry_price] => 65159
[stop_loss] => 65144.04187
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 20:00:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.2] => Array
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[take_profit] => 65186.1965
[entry_price] => 65159
[stop_loss] => 65142.68204
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 20:00:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.3] => Array
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[take_profit] => 65186.1965
[entry_price] => 65159
[stop_loss] => 65141.32221
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 20:00:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.5] => Array
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[take_profit] => 65186.1965
[entry_price] => 65159
[stop_loss] => 65138.60255
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 20:00:00+00
[result] => loss
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.009% | 0.4R | -0.180% | 8.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.101% | 4.9R | -0.180% | 8.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.485% | 23.2R | -0.526% | 25.2R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.485% | 23.2R | -0.583% | 28.0R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.485% | 23.2R | -0.583% | 28.0R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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