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Long Trade on PENGU

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09 Aug 2026 at 16:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PENGU (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 36776.54 PENGU at 0.00663$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006798 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006414 (3.29 %)

PENGU LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 16:10 → 17:10 · 59 minutes

Position

Entry 0.006632$

Qty 36776.5366 PENGU

Size 243.902$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.006798 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.1$

SL 0.006414 (-3.29%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.76

Status loss PnL -0.02% / -0.037$ MAE -0.38% MFE +0.38% 0.1R expires 09 Aug 17:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=12 > threshold=10/42

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 63824)
#4 / 40 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8073

Quality Score
0.730
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 16:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#4 / 40 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.29 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 40 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.29 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 0.84×ATR
1d near -0.63×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 16:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

08/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

09/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

09/08 15:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.7296
Score SMA
0.6186
Rank
#4 / 40
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8073
Rank Norm SMA
0.8269
Calculé le
09/08/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7477 r1h: 0.608% · r4h: 3.020% · r1d: 4.42% · r3d: 9.84% · ema21_slope: 0.1950% · dist_ema21: 2.900%
Force Relative 25% 0.7139 rs_1h: 0.597% · rs_4h: 3.068% · rs_1d: 4.23% · rs_3d: 8.67% · beta_24h: 1.246
Volume 20% 0.4654 rvol_20: 0.88× · zscore_50: 0.208 · trend: 93.22%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8914 ADX: 47.0 (trend) · Chop: 14.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.378% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -3.287% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.377% 0.1R -0.377% 0.1R 1.0× 12
1.2h ★ +0.377% 0.1R -0.377% 0.1R 1.0× 13
2h +1.161% 0.4R -0.377% 0.1R 3.1× 24
4h +1.161% 0.4R -3.001% 0.9R 0.4× 48
8h +1.161% 0.4R -3.001% 0.9R 0.4× 96
12h +1.809% 0.6R -3.001% 0.9R 0.6× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.66
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range weak fading normal bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 38% late — near -0.6ATR 0.74 bear_high -2.57% +0.49 08/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.66 bull_medium +1.38% +0.57 09/08 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — 0.48 range_low +0.69% +0.39 09/08 15:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_medium
60%
noisy_chop 52% early — — — range_low +0.24% +0.38 09/08 15:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 11b — 2.903×ATR p12 +1.295×ATR p93
4h ↑ up late 17b — 4.777×ATR p73 +1.743×ATR p99
1h ↓ down mid 2b — 3.345×ATR p65 +0.777×ATR p71
15m ↑ up early 12b — 0×ATR p0 -0.055×ATR p7

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00641447
  2. tp_price: 0.0067978
  3. atr: 8.701E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-10T02:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 40
  3. score: 0.7477
  4. delta_2h: 0.0142
  5. extension_atr: 2.01
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8073
  9. confidence: 0.923

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.006632 0.006414 0.006798 0.76 0.00632
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.006632
  • Stop Loss: 0.006414
  • Take Profit: 0.006798

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.006414 - 0.006632 = -0.000218

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.006632 - 0.006798 = -0.000166

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000166 / -0.000218 = 0.7615

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
243.902 100 36776.5366 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000218

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000218 = -36697.25

Taille de position USD = -36697.25 x 0.006632 = -243.38

Donc, tu peux acheter -36697.25 avec un stoploss a 0.006414

Avec un position size USD de -243.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -36697.25 x -0.000218 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -36697.25 x -0.000166 = 6.09

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.09$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -36697.25
  • Taille de position USD -243.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.09
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7615

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.1 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.29 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
-0.037 $ -0.02
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.377 % 11.47 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.006632 0.006414 0.006798 0.76 0.00632
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.006632
  • Stop Loss: 0.006414
  • Take Profit: 0.006798

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.006414 - 0.006632 = -0.000218

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.006632 - 0.006798 = -0.000166

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000166 / -0.000218 = 0.7615

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -3.287% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.377% 0.1R -0.377% 0.1R 1.0× 12
1.2h ★ +0.377% 0.1R -0.377% 0.1R 1.0× 13
2h +1.161% 0.4R -0.377% 0.1R 3.1× 24
4h +1.161% 0.4R -3.001% 0.9R 0.4× 48
8h +1.161% 0.4R -3.001% 0.9R 0.4× 96
12h +1.809% 0.6R -3.001% 0.9R 0.6× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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