Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.25 BTC at 65090$ per unit. Take profit: 65153.234 (0.097 %) & Stop Loss: 65058.383 (0.049 %)
Long Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.25 BTC at 65090$ per unit. Take profit: 65153.234 (0.097 %) & Stop Loss: 65058.383 (0.049 %)
Position
Entry 65090$
Qty 0.253 BTC
Size 16469.6289$ (margin 100$) (leverage 165)
Risk Setup
TP 65153.234 (+0.097%)
TP $ 16$
SL 65058.383 (-0.049%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2854
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -2.05×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.30×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.74×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 16:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+2) 09/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 16:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5123 | r1h: 0.011% · r4h: -0.048% · r1d: 0.19% · r3d: 1.17% · ema21_slope: 0.0190% · dist_ema21: 0.214% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5000 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.00% · rs_3d: 0.00% · beta_24h: 1.000 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1811 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.720 · trend: -28.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7174 | ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 35.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4448 | ATR%: 0.133% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.080% | 1.6R | -0.032% | 0.7R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.592% | 12.2R | -0.032% | 0.7R | 18.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.592% | 12.2R | -0.438% | 9.0R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.592% | 12.2R | -0.478% | 9.8R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.592% | 12.2R | -0.478% | 9.8R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -1.7ATR | — | — | — | — | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | near -1.3ATR | — | — | — | — | 09/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
44%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | near -2.1ATR | — | — | — | — | 09/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | — | — | — | — | 09/08 16:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 1.283×ATR | p0 | +0.495×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 38b | — | 8.511×ATR | p97 | +0.709×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.471×ATR | p46 | -0.59×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 5.467×ATR | p91 | -3.336×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
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[4] => Array
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[1] => 65045
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[5] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-08 12:00:00
[1] => 64883
[2] => L
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[6] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-08 14:00:00
[1] => 65168
[2] => H
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[7] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 03:00:00
[1] => 64700
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[8] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 14:00:00
[1] => 65266
[2] => H
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[9] => Array
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[1] => 65042
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34167866883216
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.001537468097537
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.34439285384828
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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[1] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 05:45:00
[1] => 64748
[2] => L
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 08:15:00
[1] => 64909
[2] => H
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[3] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 08:45:00
[1] => 64758
[2] => L
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[4] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 11:30:00
[1] => 64969
[2] => H
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[5] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 12:00:00
[1] => 64884
[2] => L
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[1] => 65266
[2] => H
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[7] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 16:15:00
[1] => 65148
[2] => L
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[8] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 18:15:00
[1] => 65154
[2] => L
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[9] => Array
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[1] => 65042
[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
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[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.27426224986976
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.069186064389164
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 22
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.17219642692414
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
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[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 16:35:00
[1] => 65236
[2] => H
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[2] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 17:00:00
[1] => 65185
[2] => L
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[3] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 17:25:00
[1] => 65200
[2] => H
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[4] => Array
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[1] => 65154
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[5] => Array
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[1] => 65192
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[1] => 65158
[2] => L
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[7] => Array
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[0] => 2026-08-09 19:20:00
[1] => 65187
[2] => H
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[8] => Array
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[1] => 65187
[2] => H
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[1] => 65042
[2] => L
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[detected_trend] => range
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14880267538006
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.073798468681775
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.22293287414286
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
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65266
193
0.7539
0.6352
0.3276
0.2421
0.3975
1
0.4217
0.5501
0.7066
0.5005
0.6133
0.7922
0.1552
0.1088
1
0.1099
1.325
0.6
0.4
1
6
1
0.5158
0.5004
5.4883
0.6
1.2094
5.6164
1.325
0.5862
0.2851
0.32
0.1628
0.5333
0.4493
0.6906
0.7922
-3.6559
13.9346
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 16:25:00 | 65148 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:35:00 | 65236 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 65185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:25:00 | 65200 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 65154 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:30:00 | 65192 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:10:00 | 65158 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:20:00 | 65187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:30:00 | 65187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:10:00 | 65042 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 64800 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:45:00 | 64748 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 64909 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 08:45:00 | 64758 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 11:30:00 | 64969 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 64884 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:45:00 | 65266 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:15:00 | 65148 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:15:00 | 65154 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 65042 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 04:00:00 | 64137 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 12:00:00 | 65356 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 64484 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 65063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 65045 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 64883 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 65168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 64700 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 65266 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 65042 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65090 | 65058.383 | 65153.234 | 2 | 64480 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 65058.383 - 65090 = -31.616999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 65090 - 65153.234 = -63.233999999997
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -63.233999999997 / -31.616999999998 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16469.6289 | 100 | 0.253 | 165.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -31.616999999998 = -0.25
Taille de position USD = -0.25 x 65090 = -16272.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.25 avec un stoploss a 65058.383
Avec un position size USD de -16272.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.25 x -31.616999999998 = 7.9
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.9$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.25 x -63.233999999997 = 15.81
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.81$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.097 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.049 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0323 % | 66.46 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65090 | 65058.383 | 65153.234 | 2 | 64480 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 65058.383 - 65090 = -31.616999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 65090 - 65153.234 = -63.233999999997
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -63.233999999997 / -31.616999999998 = 2
Array
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[take_profit] => 65153.234
[stop_loss] => 65058.383
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 21:35:00+00
[result] => win
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[2.5] => Array
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[take_profit] => 65169.0425
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 21:35:00+00
[result] => win
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[3] => Array
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[stop_loss] => 65058.383
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 21:35:00+00
[result] => win
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[3.5] => Array
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[stop_loss] => 65058.383
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[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 21:35:00+00
[result] => win
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[4] => Array
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[result] => win
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[4.5] => Array
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[take_profit] => 65232.2765
[stop_loss] => 65058.383
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 22:00:00+00
[result] => win
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[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 65248.085
[stop_loss] => 65058.383
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 22:05:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 65263.8935
[stop_loss] => 65058.383
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 22:10:00+00
[result] => win
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[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 65279.702
[stop_loss] => 65058.383
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 22:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 65295.5105
[stop_loss] => 65058.383
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 22:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 65311.319
[stop_loss] => 65058.383
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 22:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.080% | 1.6R | -0.032% | 0.7R | 2.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.592% | 12.2R | -0.032% | 0.7R | 18.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.592% | 12.2R | -0.438% | 9.0R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.592% | 12.2R | -0.478% | 9.8R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.592% | 12.2R | -0.478% | 9.8R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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