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Short Trade on KAITO

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09 Aug 2026 at 17:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 122.91 KAITO at 0.668$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7333 (9.74 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 17:10 → 20:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.6682$

Qty 122.9051 KAITO

Size 82.124$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 82.13$

SL 0.7333 (-9.74%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -2.42% / -1.99$ MAE -2.65% MFE +0.35% 0.0R expires 09 Aug 20:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 63868)
#41 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0063

Quality Score
0.444
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
21.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 17:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#41 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#41 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near 0.14×ATR
1d near -0.25×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 17:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

08/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

09/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

09/08 16:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.4436
Score SMA
0.3633
Rank
#41 / 42
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0063
Rank Norm SMA
0.0189
Calculé le
09/08/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3084 r1h: 1.894% · r4h: -1.207% · r1d: -4.40% · r3d: -25.58% · ema21_slope: -0.2711% · dist_ema21: -1.988%
Force Relative 25% 0.3783 rs_1h: 1.960% · rs_4h: -1.067% · rs_1d: -4.49% · rs_3d: -26.67% · beta_24h: 3.128
Volume 20% 0.3202 rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.260 · trend: 21.23%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6227 ADX: 44.4 (trend) · Chop: 68.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.9903 ATR%: 3.029% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.743% (0.0651)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.355% 0.0R -1.187% 0.1R 0.3× 12
2h +0.355% 0.0R -2.444% 0.3R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.355% 0.0R -2.646% 0.3R 0.1× 36
4h +0.355% 0.0R -4.343% 0.5R 0.1× 48
8h +0.355% 0.0R -5.976% 0.6R 0.1× 96
12h +1.660% 0.2R -5.976% 0.6R 0.3× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.16
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 39% late near -0.3ATR — 0.38 bear_high -2.57% -1.00 08/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading normal bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 50% late near 0.1ATR — 0.00 bull_medium +1.29% -1.00 09/08 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading compression bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 36% early — — -0.10 range_low +0.58% -0.53 09/08 16:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% early — near -0.9ATR 0.02 range_low +0.13% -0.04 09/08 16:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 11b — 5.41×ATR p75 -1.211×ATR p89
4h ↓ down late 49b — 13.819×ATR p100 -0.67×ATR p58
1h ↓ down early 3b — 0.811×ATR p0 -0.268×ATR p26
15m ↑ up early 3b — 2.117×ATR p28 +0.545×ATR p54

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.73328087
  2. atr: 0.02169696
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-10T00:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 42
  2. total: 42
  3. score: 0.3084
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6682 0.7333 0.3425
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6682
  • Stop Loss: 0.7333
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7333 - 0.6682 = 0.0651

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6682 - = 0.6682

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6682 / 0.0651 = 10.2642

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
82.124 82.124 122.9051 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0651

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0651 = 122.89

Taille de position USD = 122.89 x 0.6682 = 82.12

Donc, tu peux acheter 122.89 avec un stoploss a 0.7333

Avec un position size USD de 82.12$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 122.89 x 0.0651 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 122.89 x 0.6682 = 82.12

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 82.12$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 122.89
  • Taille de position USD 82.12
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 82.12
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 10.2642

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 82.13 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.74 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.99 $ -2.42
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.6459 % 27.16 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6682 0.7333 0.3425
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6682
  • Stop Loss: 0.7333
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7333 - 0.6682 = 0.0651

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6682 - = 0.6682

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6682 / 0.0651 = 10.2642

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.743% (0.0651)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.355% 0.0R -1.187% 0.1R 0.3× 12
2h +0.355% 0.0R -2.444% 0.3R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.355% 0.0R -2.646% 0.3R 0.1× 36
4h +0.355% 0.0R -4.343% 0.5R 0.1× 48
8h +0.355% 0.0R -5.976% 0.6R 0.1× 96
12h +1.660% 0.2R -5.976% 0.6R 0.3× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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