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Long Trade on XMR

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09 Aug 2026 at 17:10:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XMR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 0.63 XMR at 399.04$ per unit. Take profit: 409.016 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 386.3268 (3.19 %)

XMR LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 17:10 → 18:15 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 399.04$

Qty 0.6293 XMR

Size 251.103$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 409.016 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.28$

SL 386.3268 (-3.19%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.78

Status loss PnL -1.23% / -3.1$ MAE -1.81% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 09 Aug 18:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=12 > threshold=10/42

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 63875)
#8 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8326

Quality Score
0.666
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
29.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 17:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#8 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.19 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.19 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near 0.43×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 17:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

08/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

09/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

09/08 16:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.6657
Score SMA
0.5966
Rank
#8 / 42
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8326
Rank Norm SMA
0.7326
Calculé le
09/08/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6673 r1h: 0.849% · r4h: 0.120% · r1d: 4.62% · r3d: 8.60% · ema21_slope: 0.2059% · dist_ema21: 2.605%
Force Relative 25% 0.6627 rs_1h: 0.915% · rs_4h: 0.260% · rs_1d: 4.52% · rs_3d: 7.51% · beta_24h: 4.405
Volume 20% 0.4241 rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: 0.075 · trend: 105.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7665 ADX: 32.0 (trend) · Chop: 17.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.357% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -3.186% (12.7132)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.809% 0.6R 0.0× 12
1.2h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -1.809% 0.6R 0.0× 13
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.809% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +0.080% 0.0R -1.809% 0.6R 0.0× 48
8h +1.228% 0.4R -1.809% 0.6R 0.7× 96
12h +1.228% 0.4R -1.809% 0.6R 0.7× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.27
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
67%
noisy_chop 42% late — near 0.4ATR 0.50 bear_high -2.57% +0.91 08/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.36 bull_medium +1.29% +0.65 09/08 16:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
72%
noisy_chop 46% mid — — 0.19 range_low +0.58% +0.48 09/08 16:00
15m ↑ up range range strong fading compression bull_medium
59%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — 0.02 range_low +0.13% -0.00 09/08 16:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 12b — 4.005×ATR p32 +1.536×ATR p97
4h ↓ down late 2b — 2.615×ATR p31 +1.082×ATR p86
1h ↑ up mid 2b — 1.676×ATR p4 +0.797×ATR p66
15m ↑ up mid 3b — 1.613×ATR p3 +0.864×ATR p71

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 386.32681152
  2. tp_price: 409.016
  3. atr: 5.08527539
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-10T03:10:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 42
  3. score: 0.6673
  4. delta_2h: 0.1681
  5. extension_atr: 1.5
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8326
  9. confidence: 0.928

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
399.04 386.3268 409.016 0.78 413.03
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 399.04
  • Stop Loss: 386.3268
  • Take Profit: 409.016

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 386.3268 - 399.04 = -12.7132

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 399.04 - 409.016 = -9.976

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.976 / -12.7132 = 0.7847

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
251.103 100 0.6293 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -12.7132

Taille de position = 8 / -12.7132 = -0.63

Taille de position USD = -0.63 x 399.04 = -251.4

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.63 avec un stoploss a 386.3268

Avec un position size USD de -251.4$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.63 x -12.7132 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.63 x -9.976 = 6.28

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.28$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -0.63
  • Taille de position USD -251.4
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 6.28
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7847

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.28 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-3.1 $ -1.23
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.8093 % 56.79 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
399.04 386.3268 409.016 0.78 413.03
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 399.04
  • Stop Loss: 386.3268
  • Take Profit: 409.016

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 386.3268 - 399.04 = -12.7132

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 399.04 - 409.016 = -9.976

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.976 / -12.7132 = 0.7847

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -3.186% (12.7132)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.809% 0.6R 0.0× 12
1.2h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -1.809% 0.6R 0.0× 13
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.809% 0.6R 0.0× 24
4h +0.080% 0.0R -1.809% 0.6R 0.0× 48
8h +1.228% 0.4R -1.809% 0.6R 0.7× 96
12h +1.228% 0.4R -1.809% 0.6R 0.7× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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