Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 25820.61 XPL at 0.0781$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07871 (0.79 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07778 (0.4 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 25820.61 XPL at 0.0781$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07871 (0.79 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07778 (0.4 %)
Position
Entry 0.07809$
Qty 25820.6113 XPL
Size 2016.409$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07871 (+0.79%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 0.07778 (-0.4%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7274
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.72×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.04×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.34×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 17:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.184762 15m : 0.32839 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 16:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5946 | r1h: 0.288% · r4h: 0.987% · r1d: 2.04% · r3d: 4.45% · ema21_slope: 0.1289% · dist_ema21: 1.633% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5906 | rs_1h: 0.354% · rs_4h: 1.127% · rs_1d: 1.95% · rs_3d: 3.37% · beta_24h: 2.367 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9769 | rvol_20: 5.14× · zscore_50: 5.001 · trend: 82.70% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7080 | ADX: 25.0 (weak) · Chop: 33.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.804% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.082% | 2.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.082% | 2.7R | -1.218% | 3.1R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.082% | 2.7R | -2.486% | 6.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.325% | 3.3R | -2.486% | 6.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.661% | 9.2R | -2.486% | 6.3R | 1.5× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 33% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -2.57% | -0.65 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.39 | bull_medium | +1.29% | +0.41 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -1.7ATR | 0.48 | range_low | +0.58% | +0.34 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.13% | +0.13 | 09/08 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 6.958×ATR | p85 | +0.323×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 2.696×ATR | p41 | +1.124×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 5.86×ATR | p100 | +1.671×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.223×ATR | p65 | +1.588×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65119.2
-0.000310638
65099
-0.184762
65029.7
0.00106489
65099
0.32839
64870.9
0.00359219
65104
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0.7426
0.5415
0.3587
0.249
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0.5756
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0.8843
0.5823
0.7942
0.1738
0.1033
1
1.0669
2.0641
0.65
0.35
1
1
1
0.5019
0.3312
6.1355
0.55
1.9751
6.8987
2.0641
0.1523
0.32
0.82
0.2885
0.5294
0.477
0.8434
0.7942
-2.5482
9.8321
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 16:00:00 | 0.078482 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:10:00 | 0.077998 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:40:00 | 0.078211 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:50:00 | 0.077835 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:05:00 | 0.078898 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:40:00 | 0.078211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:05:00 | 0.078731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:05:00 | 0.078381 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:15:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:05:00 | 0.078032 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 05:30:00 | 0.075761 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 06:30:00 | 0.076651 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 08:45:00 | 0.0759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:45:00 | 0.07676 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 0.076216 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:15:00 | 0.078561 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:45:00 | 0.077835 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:00:00 | 0.078898 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:15:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:00:00 | 0.078032 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 13:00:00 | 0.076298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-05 21:00:00 | 0.074439 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 0.07169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.079857 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.074757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 0.076753 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 02:00:00 | 0.075211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 15:00:00 | 0.077499 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.075535 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07809 | 0.07778 | 0.07871 | 2 | 0.07537 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07778 - 0.07809 = -0.00031
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07809 - 0.07871 = -0.00062
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00062 / -0.00031 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.409 | 100 | 25820.6113 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00031 = -25806.45
Taille de position USD = -25806.45 x 0.07809 = -2015.23
Donc, tu peux acheter -25806.45 avec un stoploss a 0.07778
Avec un position size USD de -2015.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -25806.45 x -0.00031 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -25806.45 x -0.00062 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.79 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 0.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07809 | 0.07778 | 0.07871 | 2 | 0.07537 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07778 - 0.07809 = -0.00031
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07809 - 0.07871 = -0.00062
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00062 / -0.00031 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.082% | 2.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.082% | 2.7R | -1.218% | 3.1R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.082% | 2.7R | -2.486% | 6.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.325% | 3.3R | -2.486% | 6.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.661% | 9.2R | -2.486% | 6.3R | 1.5× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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