Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1763.81 FARTCOIN at 0.135$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1466 (8.35 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1308 (3.33 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 18:09:19
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 18:09
→ 19:25
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.1353$
Qty 1763.8084 FARTCOIN
Size 238.6433$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1466 (+8.35%)
TP $ 19.93$
SL 0.1308 (-3.33%)
SL $ 7.94$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-3.33%
/ -7.94$
MAE -3.75%
MFE +1.72%
0.5R
expires
10 Aug 06:09
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63908)
#15 / 42
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 18:00
score du 09/08/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7720
Quality Score
0.587
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 18:02
09/08 18:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#15 / 42
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#15 / 42
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.84×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.78×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 11.77×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 09/08 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5869
Score SMA
0.5625
Rank
#15
/ 42
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7720
Rank Norm SMA
0.6042
Calculé le
09/08/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5688 | r1h: 0.340% · r4h: -1.216% · r1d: 2.96% · r3d: 5.24% · ema21_slope: 0.1808% · dist_ema21: 1.716% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5493 | rs_1h: 0.213% · rs_4h: -1.259% · rs_1d: 2.65% · rs_3d: 4.03% · beta_24h: 2.004 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3231 | rvol_20: 0.68× · zscore_50: -0.072 · trend: 23.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7619 | ADX: 31.4 (trend) · Chop: 26.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.132% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.326%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.510% | 0.2R | -2.225% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.510% | 0.2R | -3.755% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.510% | 0.2R | -3.755% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.673% | 0.2R | -3.755% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.722% | 0.5R | -3.755% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.855% | 0.6R | -3.755% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.39
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -2.57% | -0.00 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.62 | bull_medium | +1.26% | +0.19 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.54 | range_low | +0.69% | +0.31 | 09/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.24% | +0.04 | 09/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 37b | — | 4.737×ATR | p70 | +0.898×ATR | p78 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.523×ATR | p41 | +0.692×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.019×ATR | p28 | +0.263×ATR | p31 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.412×ATR | p0 | +0.079×ATR | p7 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7705
- reason: up_bo width=2.13×ATR dur=30b phase=extending
- stop_price: 0.13076436
- tp_price: 0.1466391
- atr:
- score: 0.77051959563714
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T10:09:11.638112
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.77051959563714
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.103
- obi_top10 : 0.0684
- micro_price : 0.13556135
- spread_pct : 0.14771
- mid_price : 0.1355
- bid_wall_price : 0.135
- bid_wall_size : 2657622.1
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.136
- ask_wall_size : 2350535.42
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0874
- obi_top5_std : 0.0142
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7095
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.13246
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.12936
- balance_zone_mid:
0.13091
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786208400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786312800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1285
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
30
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7705
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786284000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.13246
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
8
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.95
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.0014564 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
30
inside_close_ratio
0.7
bars_since_breakout
8
distance_to_edge_atr
1.95
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:09 | 0.13530000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:15 | 0.13530000 | 0% |
| 3 | 18:21 | 0.13578000 | +0.355% |
| 4 | 18:27 | 0.13578000 | +0.355% |
| 5 | 18:33 | 0.13578000 | +0.355% |
| 6 | 18:40 | 0.13441000 | -0.658% |
| 7 | 18:47 | 0.13441000 | -0.658% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7095ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.103
avg 0.087
± 0.014
OBI Top 10
0.068
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1355
Micro Price
0.1356
Spread
0.1477%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1350
Size
2,657,622.10
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1360
Size
2,350,535.42
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1353 | 0.1308 | 0.1466 | 2.51 | 0.1431 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1353
- Stop Loss: 0.1308
- Take Profit: 0.1466
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1308 - 0.1353 = -0.0045
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1353 - 0.1466 = -0.0113
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0113 / -0.0045 = 2.5111
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238.6433 | 100 | 1763.8084 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0045
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0045 = -1777.78
Taille de position USD = -1777.78 x 0.1353 = -240.53
Donc, tu peux acheter -1777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.1308
Avec un position size USD de -240.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1777.78 x -0.0045 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1777.78 x -0.0113 = 20.09
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.09$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1777.78
- Taille de position USD -240.53
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.09
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5111
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.35 % | 19.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.33 % | 7.94 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.94 $ | -3.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4368 % | 103.33 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1353 | 0.1308 | 0.1466 | 2.51 | 0.1431 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1353
- Stop Loss: 0.1308
- Take Profit: 0.1466
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1308 - 0.1353 = -0.0045
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1353 - 0.1466 = -0.0113
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0113 / -0.0045 = 2.5111
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1466
[entry_price] => 0.1353
[stop_loss] => 0.13035
[rr_ratio] => 2.28
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-09 23:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.326%
(0.0045)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.510% | 0.2R | -2.225% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.510% | 0.2R | -3.755% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.510% | 0.2R | -3.755% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.673% | 0.2R | -3.755% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.722% | 0.5R | -3.755% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.855% | 0.6R | -3.755% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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