Short Trade on SAGA

Previous Trade Next Trade

09 Aug 2026 at 18:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SAGA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 4706.33 SAGA at 0.0152$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01479 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01687 (11.21 %)

SAGA SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 18:10 → 19:20 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.01517$

Qty 4706.3253 SAGA

Size 71.395$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.01479 (+2.5%)

TP $ 1.79$

SL 0.01687 (-11.21%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.22

Status win PnL +2.50% / +1.79$ MAE -0.53% MFE +4.35% 0.4R expires 10 Aug 00:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 63904)

#42 / 42 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3077

Quality Score

0.320

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 18:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#42 / 42 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

11.21 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#42 / 42 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

11.21 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.31×ATR
4h	clear	1.58×ATR
1d	clear	1.00×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 18:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 18:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1) 09/08 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

08/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

09/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1)

09/08 17:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.3195

Score SMA

0.5568

Rank

#42 / 42

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3077

Rank Norm SMA

0.6410

Calculé le

09/08/2026 18:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3384	r1h: -2.345% · r4h: -4.886% · r1d: -9.97% · r3d: 7.76% · ema21_slope: -0.2771% · dist_ema21: -5.244%
Force Relative	25%	0.2240	rs_1h: -2.473% · rs_4h: -4.929% · rs_1d: -10.28% · rs_3d: 6.56% · beta_24h: -8.792
Volume	20%	0.1754	rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.369 · trend: -85.21%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5805	ADX: 31.2 (trend) · Chop: 60.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.3983	ATR%: 4.805% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -11.206% (0.0017)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.648%	0.2R	-0.527%	0.1R	3.1×	12
2h	+2.901%	0.3R	-0.527%	0.1R	5.5×	24
4h	+4.351%	0.4R	-0.527%	0.1R	8.3×	48
6h ★	+4.351%	0.4R	-0.527%	0.1R	8.3×	72
8h	+4.351%	0.4R	-2.044%	0.2R	2.1×	96
12h	+4.351%	0.4R	-2.307%	0.2R	1.9×	144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 5.01

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	—	0.34	bear_high	-2.57%	+0.97	08/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.33	bull_medium	+1.26%	+0.82	09/08 16:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 47%	late	near -0.3ATR	—	0.03	range_low	+0.69%	-0.82	09/08 17:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	normal	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 48%	mid	—	—	—	range_low	+0.24%	-0.26	09/08 17:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	11b	—	2.447×ATR	p0	+0.995×ATR	p84
4h	↓ down	late	4b	—	6.522×ATR	p91	-0.187×ATR	p22
1h	↓ down	late	16b	—	10.024×ATR	p100	-1.107×ATR	p79
15m	↓ down	mid	4b	—	3.045×ATR	p55	-1.62×ATR	p83

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.01686984
tp_price: 0.01479075
atr: 0.00067994
expires_at: 2026-08-10T04:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 41
total: 42
score: 0.3384
delta_2h: -0.2618
extension_atr: -0.88
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3077
confidence: 0.976

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.01517	0.01687	0.01479	0.22	0.0134

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.01517
Stop Loss: 0.01687
Take Profit: 0.01479

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.01687 - 0.01517 = 0.0017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.01517 - 0.01479 = 0.00038
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00038 / 0.0017 = 0.2235

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
71.395	71.395	4706.3253	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0017

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0017 = 4705.88

Taille de position USD = 4705.88 x 0.01517 = 71.39

Donc, tu peux acheter 4705.88 avec un stoploss a 0.01687

Avec un position size USD de 71.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4705.88 x 0.0017 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4705.88 x 0.00038 = 1.79

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.79$

Résumé

Taille de position 4705.88
Taille de position USD 71.39
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 1.79
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2235

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	1.79 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
11.21 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
1.79 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.5274 %	4.71 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.01517	0.01687	0.01479	0.22	0.0134

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.01517
Stop Loss: 0.01687
Take Profit: 0.01479

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.01687 - 0.01517 = 0.0017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.01517 - 0.01479 = 0.00038
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00038 / 0.0017 = 0.2235

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -11.206% (0.0017)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.648%	0.2R	-0.527%	0.1R	3.1×	12
2h	+2.901%	0.3R	-0.527%	0.1R	5.5×	24
4h	+4.351%	0.4R	-0.527%	0.1R	8.3×	48
6h ★	+4.351%	0.4R	-0.527%	0.1R	8.3×	72
8h	+4.351%	0.4R	-2.044%	0.2R	2.1×	96
12h	+4.351%	0.4R	-2.307%	0.2R	1.9×	144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.