Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 125.55 LTC at 45.917$ per unit. Take profit: 46.0444 (0.28 %) & Stop Loss: 45.8533 (0.14 %)
Long Trade on LTC (CatchTheWave)
With 125.55 LTC at 45.917$ per unit. Take profit: 46.0444 (0.28 %) & Stop Loss: 45.8533 (0.14 %)
Position
Entry 45.917$
Qty 125.5481 LTC
Size 5764.7901$ (margin 100$) (leverage 58)
Risk Setup
TP 46.0444 (+0.28%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 45.8533 (-0.14%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4608
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.27×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.61×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.31×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.454515 15m : 0.443679 |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low (+1) 09/08 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5130 | r1h: -0.054% · r4h: -0.290% · r1d: 0.00% · r3d: 1.15% · ema21_slope: 0.0291% · dist_ema21: -0.148% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4812 | rs_1h: -0.182% · rs_4h: -0.333% · rs_1d: -0.31% · rs_3d: -0.06% · beta_24h: 0.618 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4125 | rvol_20: 1.35× · zscore_50: 0.282 · trend: -6.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5416 | ADX: 22.1 (weak) · Chop: 55.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.317% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.126% | 8.1R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.305% | 9.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.315% | 9.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.740% | 12.5R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.740% | 12.5R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -2.57% | -0.23 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.47% | -0.02 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.4ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.57 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.98% | -0.04 | 09/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | range_low |
44%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.26% | -0.05 | 09/08 18:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 1.656×ATR | p0 | +0.597×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 39b | — | 6.043×ATR | p94 | +0.043×ATR | p6 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.076×ATR | p0 | -0.247×ATR | p28 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.246×ATR | p32 | -0.784×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65158.3
-0.00183119
65039
0.454515
65042
0.000445836
65071
0.443679
64880.3
0.00292337
65070
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46.455
192
0.6717
0.5135
0.3933
0.2466
0.5133
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0.2912
0.5563
0.774
0.6649
0.589
0.7062
-0.032
0.0414
0.6667
-1.1197
0.0154
0.8
0.2
1
7
1
0.5067
0.4452
3.017
0.55
1.5056
2.6495
0.0154
0.565
0.2554
0.62
0.1394
0.5104
0.5023
0.633
0.7062
-3.3181
7.9763
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:36 | 45.91700000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:43 | 45.73300000 | -0.401% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 16:10:00 | 46.346 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:50:00 | 46.203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:55:00 | 46.164 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:30:00 | 46.233 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:40:00 | 46.185 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:10:00 | 46.083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:05:00 | 46.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:15:00 | 45.965 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:10:00 | 46.187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:35:00 | 45.912 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 45.858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 04:15:00 | 46.031 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:30:00 | 45.881 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:15:00 | 46.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 10:45:00 | 46.053 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 46.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 46.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:45:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 46.187 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:30:00 | 45.94 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 46.051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 19:00:00 | 44.759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 03:00:00 | 45.627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 45.459 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 12:00:00 | 45.479 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 46.144 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 45.858 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 08:00:00 | 46.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 46.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 45.94 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.917 | 45.8533 | 46.0444 | 2 | 44.618 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.8533 - 45.917 = -0.063700000000004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.917 - 46.0444 = -0.1274
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1274 / -0.063700000000004 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5764.7901 | 100 | 125.5481 | 58.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.063700000000004 = -125.59
Taille de position USD = -125.59 x 45.917 = -5766.72
Donc, tu peux acheter -125.59 avec un stoploss a 45.8533
Avec un position size USD de -5766.72$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -125.59 x -0.063700000000004 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -125.59 x -0.1274 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.14 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5053 % | 364.31 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.917 | 45.8533 | 46.0444 | 2 | 44.618 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.8533 - 45.917 = -0.063700000000004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.917 - 46.0444 = -0.1274
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1274 / -0.063700000000004 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.126% | 8.1R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.305% | 9.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.315% | 9.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.740% | 12.5R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.740% | 12.5R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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