Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 226052.56 PENGU at 0.00658$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006653 (1.08 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006547 (0.53 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 226052.56 PENGU at 0.00658$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006653 (1.08 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006547 (0.53 %)
Position
Entry 0.006582$
Qty 226052.5572 PENGU
Size 1487.8779$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006653 (+1.08%)
TP $ 16.05$
SL 0.006547 (-0.53%)
SL $ 7.91$
RR 2.03
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8303
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.63×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.187015 15m : 0.338693 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.030% | 0.1R | -2.233% | 4.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.030% | 0.1R | -2.264% | 4.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.866% | 1.6R | -2.264% | 4.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.294% | 4.3R | -2.264% | 4.3R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.583% | 4.9R | -2.264% | 4.3R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.49 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.47% | +0.61 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | 0.48 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.98% | +0.50 | 09/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.25% | -0.15 | 09/08 18:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 2.903×ATR | p12 | +1.295×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.822×ATR | p0 | +1.628×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.21×ATR | p0 | +0.761×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.78×ATR | p0 | +0.337×ATR | p28 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65156.5
-0.00231029
65006
0.187015
65036.3
-0.000466725
65006
0.338693
64879
0.0019414
65005
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0.006567
196
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0.928
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0.2995
0.88
0.6192
0.601
0.5693
0.7336
0.7217
-2.8161
7.3013
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:46 | 0.00658200 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:52 | 0.00655500 | -0.41% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 18:50:00 | 0.006627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:10:00 | 0.006567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:25:00 | 0.006635 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:10:00 | 0.006596 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:25:00 | 0.006649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:05:00 | 0.006613 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:30:00 | 0.006709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 0.006632 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:10:00 | 0.006687 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:45:00 | 0.006582 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 04:30:00 | 0.00635 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:30:00 | 0.006285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:45:00 | 0.006374 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 0.006298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:45:00 | 0.006407 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:30:00 | 0.006341 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 0.006907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:00:00 | 0.006567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:30:00 | 0.006709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:45:00 | 0.006582 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 07:00:00 | 0.006328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 0.00608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.006206 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 21:00:00 | 0.005919 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.006097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.005948 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 0.006312 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 0.006417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.006239 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 0.006907 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006582 | 0.006547 | 0.006653 | 2.03 | 0.005953 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006547 - 0.006582 = -3.5E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006582 - 0.006653 = -7.1E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.1E-5 / -3.5E-5 = 2.0286
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1487.8779 | 100 | 226052.5572 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.5E-5 = -228571.43
Taille de position USD = -228571.43 x 0.006582 = -1504.46
Donc, tu peux acheter -228571.43 avec un stoploss a 0.006547
Avec un position size USD de -1504.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -228571.43 x -3.5E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -228571.43 x -7.1E-5 = 16.23
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.23$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.08 % | 16.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.53 % | 7.91 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.91 $ | -0.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9572 % | 179.99 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006582 | 0.006547 | 0.006653 | 2.03 | 0.005953 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006547 - 0.006582 = -3.5E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006582 - 0.006653 = -7.1E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.1E-5 / -3.5E-5 = 2.0286
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.030% | 0.1R | -2.233% | 4.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.030% | 0.1R | -2.264% | 4.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.866% | 1.6R | -2.264% | 4.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.294% | 4.3R | -2.264% | 4.3R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.583% | 4.9R | -2.264% | 4.3R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
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