09 Aug 2026 at 18:53:03 hyperliquid

Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 3756.38 FARTCOIN at 0.133$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1382 (3.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1308 (1.58 %)

FARTCOIN LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 18:53 → 19:25 · 31 minutes

Position

Entry 0.1329$

Qty 3756.38 FARTCOIN

Size 499.2229$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1382 (+3.99%)

TP $ 19.91$

SL 0.1308 (-1.58%)

SL $ 7.89$

RR 2.52

Status loss PnL -1.58% / -7.89$ MAE -2.02% MFE +3.56% 2.3R expires 10 Aug 06:52

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 63908)
#15 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7720

Quality Score
0.6
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
78 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 18:46

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#15 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.58 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#15 / 42 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.58 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.18×ATR
4h near 0.41×ATR
1d clear 11.77×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 18:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

08/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

09/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

09/08 18:00

Score : 0 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.580% (0.0021)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.023% 0.0R -2.017% 1.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.256% 0.2R -2.017% 1.3R 0.1× 24
4h +0.798% 0.5R -2.017% 1.3R 0.4× 48
8h +2.626% 1.7R -2.017% 1.3R 1.3× 96
12h ★ +3.559% 2.3R -2.017% 1.3R 1.8× 144
24h +3.695% 2.3R -2.017% 1.3R 1.8× 288

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.52
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% mid 0.61 bear_high -2.57% -0.00 08/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 42% mid near 0.4ATR 0.62 bull_medium +1.47% +0.25 09/08 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 43% mid near -0.2ATR 0.54 range_low +0.40% +0.22 09/08 18:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression range_medium
37%
noisy_chop 50% late 0.46 range_low -0.05% -0.27 09/08 18:45
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 37b 4.737×ATR p70 +0.898×ATR p78
4h ↑ up mid 12b 3.868×ATR p52 +0.999×ATR p81
1h ↓ down mid 4b 2.67×ATR p60 -0.228×ATR p28
15m ↓ down late 3b 3.147×ATR p61 -1.9×ATR p94

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7772
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.85×ATR dur=30b phase=extending
  4. stop_price: 0.13077029
  5. tp_price: 0.13822428
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.77722411307163
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-10T10:52:55.501947
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.77722411307163
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.1019
  14. obi_top10 : 0.1257
  15. micro_price : 0.13251345
  16. spread_pct : 0.075472
  17. mid_price : 0.13255
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.132
  19. bid_wall_size : 1821117.58
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.133
  22. ask_wall_size : 1210402.38
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.1123
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0133
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7064
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.13246
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.12941
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.130935
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1786208400
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1786312800
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.8517
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    30
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7772
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1786284000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.13246
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.7
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    8
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.2671
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    5
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    5
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00164712
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
30
inside_close_ratio
0.7
bars_since_breakout
8
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2671

Signaux confirmants (3)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 18:53 0.13290000 0%
2 18:58 0.13290000 0%
3 19:05 0.13290000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7064ms Confidence avant OB : 78%78%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.102
avg 0.112 ± 0.013
OBI Top 10 0.126

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1326
Micro Price
0.1325
Spread
0.0755%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1320
Size
1,821,117.58

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.1330
Size
1,210,402.38

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1329 0.1308 0.1382 2.52 0.1425
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1329
  • Stop Loss: 0.1308
  • Take Profit: 0.1382

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1308 - 0.1329 = -0.0021

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1329 - 0.1382 = -0.0053

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0053 / -0.0021 = 2.5238

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
499.2229 100 3756.38 5.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0021

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0021 = -3809.52

Taille de position USD = -3809.52 x 0.1329 = -506.29

Donc, tu peux acheter -3809.52 avec un stoploss a 0.1308

Avec un position size USD de -506.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3809.52 x -0.0021 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3809.52 x -0.0053 = 20.19

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.19$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -3809.52
  • Taille de position USD -506.29
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.19
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5238

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.99 % 19.91 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.58 % 7.89 $
PNL PNL %
-7.89 $ -1.58
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.693 % 107.15 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1329 0.1308 0.1382 2.52 0.1425
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1329
  • Stop Loss: 0.1308
  • Take Profit: 0.1382

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1308 - 0.1329 = -0.0021

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1329 - 0.1382 = -0.0053

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0053 / -0.0021 = 2.5238

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1382
            [entry_price] => 0.1329
            [stop_loss] => 0.13059
            [rr_ratio] => 2.29
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-09 23:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1382
            [entry_price] => 0.1329
            [stop_loss] => 0.13038
            [rr_ratio] => 2.1
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-09 23:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.580% (0.0021)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.023% 0.0R -2.017% 1.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.256% 0.2R -2.017% 1.3R 0.1× 24
4h +0.798% 0.5R -2.017% 1.3R 0.4× 48
8h +2.626% 1.7R -2.017% 1.3R 1.3× 96
12h ★ +3.559% 2.3R -2.017% 1.3R 1.8× 144
24h +3.695% 2.3R -2.017% 1.3R 1.8× 288

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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