Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 208008.32 PENGU at 0.00655$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006623 (1.18 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006508 (0.58 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 208008.32 PENGU at 0.00655$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006623 (1.18 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006508 (0.58 %)
Position
Entry 0.006546$
Qty 208008.3203 PENGU
Size 1361.6225$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006623 (+1.18%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.006508 (-0.58%)
SL $ 7.9$
RR 2.03
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8303
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.63×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 18:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.160867 15m : 0.341185 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.696% | 2.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.458% | 0.8R | -1.726% | 3.0R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.421% | 2.5R | -1.726% | 3.0R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.857% | 4.9R | -1.726% | 3.0R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.147% | 5.4R | -1.726% | 3.0R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.49 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.47% | +0.61 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.48 | range_low | +0.40% | +0.50 | 09/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.28 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.16 | 09/08 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 2.903×ATR | p12 | +1.295×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.822×ATR | p0 | +1.628×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.749×ATR | p0 | +0.442×ATR | p44 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.731×ATR | p39 | -1.295×ATR | p85 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65148
-0.0013366
65061
0.160867
65035.9
-0.00076816
64986
0.341185
64879
0.0019414
65005
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0.006567
196
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0.5183
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0.8199
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0.94
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7.6465
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0.509
3.8921
2.3157
0.045
0.2845
0.9
0.7275
0.6196
0.5731
0.7328
0.6812
-3.0234
6.4595
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:58 | 0.00654600 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:05 | 0.00653400 | -0.183% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 18:50:00 | 0.006627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:10:00 | 0.006567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:25:00 | 0.006635 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:10:00 | 0.006596 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:25:00 | 0.006649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:05:00 | 0.006613 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:30:00 | 0.006709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 0.006632 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:10:00 | 0.006687 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:50:00 | 0.006519 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 04:30:00 | 0.00635 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:30:00 | 0.006285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:45:00 | 0.006374 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 0.006298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:45:00 | 0.006407 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:30:00 | 0.006341 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 0.006907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:00:00 | 0.006567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:30:00 | 0.006709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:45:00 | 0.006581 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 07:00:00 | 0.006328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 0.00608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.006206 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 21:00:00 | 0.005919 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.006097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.005948 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 0.006312 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 0.006417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.006239 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 0.006907 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006546 | 0.006508 | 0.006623 | 2.03 | 0.005967 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006508 - 0.006546 = -3.8E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006546 - 0.006623 = -7.7000000000001E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.7000000000001E-5 / -3.8E-5 = 2.0263
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1361.6225 | 100 | 208008.3203 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.8E-5 = -210526.32
Taille de position USD = -210526.32 x 0.006546 = -1378.11
Donc, tu peux acheter -210526.32 avec un stoploss a 0.006508
Avec un position size USD de -1378.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -210526.32 x -3.8E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -210526.32 x -7.7000000000001E-5 = 16.21
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.21$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.18 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 7.9 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.9 $ | -0.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9013 % | 155.26 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006546 | 0.006508 | 0.006623 | 2.03 | 0.005967 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006508 - 0.006546 = -3.8E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006546 - 0.006623 = -7.7000000000001E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.7000000000001E-5 / -3.8E-5 = 2.0263
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.696% | 2.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.458% | 0.8R | -1.726% | 3.0R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.421% | 2.5R | -1.726% | 3.0R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.857% | 4.9R | -1.726% | 3.0R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.147% | 5.4R | -1.726% | 3.0R | 1.8× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
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