Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 27053.53 XPL at 0.0774$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07798 (0.76 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07709 (0.39 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 27053.53 XPL at 0.0774$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07798 (0.76 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07709 (0.39 %)
Position
Entry 0.07739$
Qty 27053.5322 XPL
Size 2093.6187$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07798 (+0.76%)
TP $ 15.96$
SL 0.07709 (-0.39%)
SL $ 8.12$
RR 1.97
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6949
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.21×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.99×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.34×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.017901 15m : 0.462786 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 18:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.604% | 4.1R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.022% | 2.6R | -1.604% | 4.1R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.242% | 5.8R | -1.604% | 4.1R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.155% | 8.1R | -1.604% | 4.1R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.599% | 11.9R | -1.604% | 4.1R | 2.9× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 33% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -2.57% | -0.65 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.39 | bull_medium | +1.47% | +0.40 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.48 | range_low | +0.40% | +0.25 | 09/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.42 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.06 | 09/08 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 36b | — | 6.958×ATR | p85 | +0.323×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 2.544×ATR | p32 | +1.044×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.119×ATR | p36 | -0.1×ATR | p8 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3.258×ATR | p65 | -1.363×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65145.4
-0.00198636
65016
0.017901
65037.2
-0.000326427
65016
0.462786
64883.2
0.00280176
65065
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0.079414
197
0.7344
0.5415
0.3541
0.244
0.4442
1
0.2286
0.6002
0.6984
0.94
0.5977
0.727
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0.0787
1
0.1755
1.0092
0.65
0.35
1
2
1
0.5121
0.3312
6.1355
0.55
1.9751
6.8987
1.0092
0.1523
0.3174
0.9
0.5148
0.539
0.4897
0.8988
0.727
-2.8877
7.6907
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:06 | 0.07738800 | -0.003% |
| 2 | 19:11 | 0.07731100 | -0.102% |
| 3 | 19:17 | 0.07723900 | -0.195% |
| 4 | 19:23 | 0.07701500 | -0.485% |
| 5 | 19:28 | 0.07705100 | -0.438% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 16:40:00 | 0.078211 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:50:00 | 0.077835 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:05:00 | 0.078898 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:40:00 | 0.078211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:05:00 | 0.078731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:05:00 | 0.078381 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:15:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:05:00 | 0.078032 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:10:00 | 0.078935 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:50:00 | 0.077272 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 08:45:00 | 0.0759 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:45:00 | 0.07676 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 0.076216 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:15:00 | 0.078561 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 16:45:00 | 0.077835 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 18:00:00 | 0.078898 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:15:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:00:00 | 0.078032 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 0.078935 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:45:00 | 0.077272 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 21:00:00 | 0.074439 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 03:00:00 | 0.07169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.079857 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.074757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 0.076753 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 02:00:00 | 0.075211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 15:00:00 | 0.077499 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.075535 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 0.07742 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07739 | 0.07709 | 0.07798 | 1.97 | 0.07729 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07709 - 0.07739 = -0.00029999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07739 - 0.07798 = -0.00058999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00058999999999999 / -0.00029999999999999 = 1.9667
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2093.6187 | 100 | 27053.5322 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00029999999999999 = -26666.67
Taille de position USD = -26666.67 x 0.07739 = -2063.73
Donc, tu peux acheter -26666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.07709
Avec un position size USD de -2063.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -26666.67 x -0.00029999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -26666.67 x -0.00058999999999999 = 15.73
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.73$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 15.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 8.12 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.12 $ | -0.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5828 % | 150.36 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07739 | 0.07709 | 0.07798 | 1.97 | 0.07729 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07709 - 0.07739 = -0.00029999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07739 - 0.07798 = -0.00058999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00058999999999999 / -0.00029999999999999 = 1.9667
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.604% | 4.1R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.022% | 2.6R | -1.604% | 4.1R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.242% | 5.8R | -1.604% | 4.1R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.155% | 8.1R | -1.604% | 4.1R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.599% | 11.9R | -1.604% | 4.1R | 2.9× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
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