Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 213106.02 PENGU at 0.00649$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006566 (1.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006453 (0.59 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 213106.02 PENGU at 0.00649$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006566 (1.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006453 (0.59 %)
Position
Entry 0.006491$
Qty 213106.0202 PENGU
Size 1383.2712$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006566 (+1.16%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 0.006453 (-0.59%)
SL $ 8.1$
RR 1.97
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8347
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.63×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.007479 15m : 0.305033 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.063% | 1.8R | -0.894% | 1.5R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.310% | 2.2R | -0.894% | 1.5R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.280% | 3.9R | -0.894% | 1.5R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.759% | 6.4R | -0.894% | 1.5R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.021% | 6.9R | -0.894% | 1.5R | 4.5× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.74 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.49 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bull_medium | +1.47% | +0.61 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.48 | range_low | +0.40% | +0.50 | 09/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.28 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.16 | 09/08 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 2.903×ATR | p12 | +1.295×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.822×ATR | p0 | +1.628×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.749×ATR | p0 | +0.442×ATR | p44 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.731×ATR | p39 | -1.295×ATR | p85 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65146.4
-0.00135755
65058
-0.007479
65038
0.000306564
65058
0.305033
64883.2
0.00280176
65065
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0.006709
197
0.7429
0.7005
0.3876
0.2329
0.5142
0.4176
0.5651
0.7276
0.6978
0.916
0.7256
0.6002
0.1319
0.104
1
0.2621
1.5507
0.6
0.4
1
6
1
0.5342
0.6455
7.6465
0.6
0.4176
1.557
1.5507
0.8937
0.2877
0.86
0.6235
0.612
0.5331
0.7762
0.6002
-3.899
5.8534
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:10 | 0.00649100 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:16 | 0.00649300 | +0.031% |
| 3 | 19:22 | 0.00648300 | -0.123% |
| 4 | 19:28 | 0.00647100 | -0.308% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 18:50:00 | 0.006627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:10:00 | 0.006567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 19:25:00 | 0.006635 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 20:10:00 | 0.006596 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:25:00 | 0.006649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:05:00 | 0.006613 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:30:00 | 0.006709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 0.006632 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:10:00 | 0.006687 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:05:00 | 0.006487 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 04:30:00 | 0.00635 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:30:00 | 0.006285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 09:45:00 | 0.006374 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 0.006298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 13:45:00 | 0.006407 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:30:00 | 0.006341 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 0.006907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 19:00:00 | 0.006567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:30:00 | 0.006709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 0.006487 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 13:00:00 | 0.00608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-06 15:00:00 | 0.006206 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-06 21:00:00 | 0.005919 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-07 06:00:00 | 0.006097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 17:00:00 | 0.005948 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 06:00:00 | 0.006312 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 21:00:00 | 0.006417 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.006239 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 0.006907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 0.006509 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006491 | 0.006453 | 0.006566 | 1.97 | 0.005975 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006453 - 0.006491 = -3.8E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006491 - 0.006566 = -7.5E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.5E-5 / -3.8E-5 = 1.9737
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1383.2712 | 100 | 213106.0202 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.8E-5 = -210526.32
Taille de position USD = -210526.32 x 0.006491 = -1366.53
Donc, tu peux acheter -210526.32 avec un stoploss a 0.006453
Avec un position size USD de -1366.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -210526.32 x -3.8E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -210526.32 x -7.5E-5 = 15.79
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.79$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.16 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.59 % | 8.1 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.1 $ | -0.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7395 % | 126.32 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006491 | 0.006453 | 0.006566 | 1.97 | 0.005975 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006453 - 0.006491 = -3.8E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006491 - 0.006566 = -7.5E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -7.5E-5 / -3.8E-5 = 1.9737
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.063% | 1.8R | -0.894% | 1.5R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.310% | 2.2R | -0.894% | 1.5R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.280% | 3.9R | -0.894% | 1.5R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.759% | 6.4R | -0.894% | 1.5R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.021% | 6.9R | -0.894% | 1.5R | 4.5× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
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