Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.54 XMR at 394.6$ per unit. Take profit: 431.9363 (9.46 %) & Stop Loss: 379.6655 (3.78 %)
09 Aug 2026 at 19:23:58
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
09 Aug 2026 19:23
→ 07:20
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 394.6$
Qty 0.5357 XMR
Size 211.3759$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 431.9363 (+9.46%)
TP $ 20$
SL 379.6655 (-3.78%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.42%
/ +0.88$
MAE -0.54%
MFE +2.37%
0.6R
expires
10 Aug 07:23
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 63960)
#12 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 19:00
score du 09/08/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8177
Quality Score
0.6
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
31.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 19:17
09/08 19:17
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#12 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#12 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.43×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 19:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 08/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.785%
(14.9345)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.730% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.407% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.367% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.367% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.367% | 0.6R | -0.542% | 0.1R | 4.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.367% | 0.6R | -0.895% | 0.2R | 2.7× | 288 |
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.25
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.57% | +0.91 | 08/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.36 | bull_medium | +1.18% | +0.61 | 09/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.18 | range_low | +0.36% | +0.23 | 09/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.03 | range_low | -0.09% | +0.06 | 09/08 19:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 4.005×ATR | p32 | +1.536×ATR | p97 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.782×ATR | p38 | +0.74×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.294×ATR | p0 | -0.018×ATR | p2 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 3.111×ATR | p59 | -0.082×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.811
- reason: up_bo width=1.95×ATR dur=38b phase=extending|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 379.66547137
- tp_price: 431.93632157
- atr:
- score: 0.74100611711129
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T11:23:50.802022
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.74100611711129
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2199
- obi_top10 : 0.1423
- micro_price : 394.11012346
- spread_pct : 0.07108
- mid_price : 394.06
- bid_wall_price : 391
- bid_wall_size : 673.9
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 395
- ask_wall_size : 708.81
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2198
- obi_top5_std : 0.0002
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6886
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
385.125
- balance_zone_bottom:
375.22
- balance_zone_mid:
380.1725
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786183200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786316400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9535
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
38
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.741
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786280400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
385.125
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7105
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
10
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.8687
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 5.07028627 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
38
inside_close_ratio
0.7105
bars_since_breakout
10
distance_to_edge_atr
1.8687
Signaux confirmants (28)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:23 | 394.60000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:29 | 394.60000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 19:36 | 394.60000000 | 0% |
| 4 | 19:41 | 395.43000000 | +0.21% |
| 5 | 19:47 | 395.43000000 | +0.21% |
| 6 | 19:52 | 396.00000000 | +0.355% |
| 7 | 19:59 | 396.00000000 | +0.355% |
| 8 | 20:05 | 396.00000000 | +0.355% |
| 9 | 20:10 | 396.39000000 | +0.454% |
| 10 | 20:16 | 396.39000000 | +0.454% |
| 11 | 20:22 | 396.43000000 | +0.464% |
| 12 | 20:28 | 396.43000000 | +0.464% |
| 13 | 20:34 | 396.43000000 | +0.464% |
| 14 | 20:40 | 396.65000000 | +0.52% |
| 15 | 20:46 | 396.65000000 | +0.52% |
| 16 | 20:52 | 396.20000000 | +0.405% |
| 17 | 20:58 | 396.20000000 | +0.405% |
| 18 | 21:05 | 396.20000000 | +0.405% |
| 19 | 21:10 | 397.60000000 | +0.76% |
| 20 | 21:17 | 397.60000000 | +0.76% |
| 21 | 21:22 | 399.74000000 | +1.303% |
| 22 | 21:28 | 399.74000000 | +1.303% |
| 23 | 21:34 | 399.74000000 | +1.303% |
| 24 | 21:40 | 398.19000000 | +0.91% |
| 25 | 21:46 | 398.19000000 | +0.91% |
| 26 | 21:52 | 396.72000000 | +0.537% |
| 27 | 21:58 | 396.72000000 | +0.537% |
| 28 | 22:06 | 396.72000000 | +0.537% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6886ms
Confidence avant OB :
74%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.220
avg 0.220
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.142
Microstructure
Mid Price
394.0600
Micro Price
394.1101
Spread
0.0711%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
391.0000
Size
673.90
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
395.0000
Size
708.81
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 394.6 | 379.6655 | 431.9363 | 2.5 | 411.44 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 394.6
- Stop Loss: 379.6655
- Take Profit: 431.9363
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 379.6655 - 394.6 = -14.9345
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 394.6 - 431.9363 = -37.3363
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -37.3363 / -14.9345 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 211.3759 | 100 | 0.5357 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -14.9345
Taille de position = 8 / -14.9345 = -0.54
Taille de position USD = -0.54 x 394.6 = -213.08
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.54 avec un stoploss a 379.6655
Avec un position size USD de -213.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.54 x -14.9345 = 8.06
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.06$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.54 x -37.3363 = 20.16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.16$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.54
- Taille de position USD -213.08
- Perte potentielle 8.06
- Gain potentiel 20.16
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.46 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.78 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.88 $ | 0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5423 % | 14.33 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 394.6 | 379.6655 | 431.9363 | 2.5 | 411.44 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 394.6
- Stop Loss: 379.6655
- Take Profit: 431.9363
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 379.6655 - 394.6 = -14.9345
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 394.6 - 431.9363 = -37.3363
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -37.3363 / -14.9345 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.785%
(14.9345)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.730% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.407% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.367% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.367% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.367% | 0.6R | -0.542% | 0.1R | 4.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.367% | 0.6R | -0.895% | 0.2R | 2.7× | 288 |
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
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