09 Aug 2026 at 22:08:03 hyperliquid

Long Trade on UNI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 103.56 UNI at 4.072$ per unit. Take profit: 4.2649 (4.74 %) & Stop Loss: 3.9946 (1.9 %)

UNI LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 22:08 → 08:55 · 10 hours

Position

Entry 4.0718$

Qty 103.5643 UNI

Size 421.693$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 4.2649 (+4.74%)

TP $ 20$

SL 3.9946 (-1.9%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -1.90% / -8$ MAE -2.07% MFE +0.38% 0.2R expires 10 Aug 10:07

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64065)
#25 / 46 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4797

Quality Score
0.6
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
78 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 22:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#25 / 46 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#25 / 46 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.28×ATR
4h clear 0.61×ATR
1d clear 7.71×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 22:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

09/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

09/08 21:00

Score : +6 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.896% (0.0772)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.364% 0.2R -0.911% 0.5R 0.4× 12
2h +0.364% 0.2R -1.368% 0.7R 0.3× 24
4h +0.376% 0.2R -1.479% 0.8R 0.3× 48
8h +0.376% 0.2R -1.876% 1.0R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +0.376% 0.2R -2.073% 1.1R 0.2× 144
24h +0.376% 0.2R -4.035% 2.1R 0.1× 288

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.38
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 32% early 0.64 bear_high -2.42% +0.76 09/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 31% early 0.54 bull_medium +0.96% -0.05 09/08 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 43% early near -1.3ATR 0.42 range_low +0.29% +0.18 09/08 21:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind volatile_reversal range_medium
33%
noisy_chop 47% mid 0.51 range_low -0.12% -0.04 09/08 21:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 10b 2.484×ATR p0 +0.097×ATR p12
4h ↑ up early 13b 1.125×ATR p0 +0.212×ATR p25
1h ↑ up early 2b 1.779×ATR p10 +0.224×ATR p24
15m ↑ up mid 4b 2.297×ATR p42 +0.687×ATR p66

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7785
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.88×ATR dur=48b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 3.99455329
  5. tp_price: 4.26491678
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.77846078500359
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-10T14:07:55.715858
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.77846078500359
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.0132
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0036
  15. micro_price : 4.064875
  16. spread_pct : 0.024606
  17. mid_price : 4.0645
  18. bid_wall_price : 4.04
  19. bid_wall_size : 77912.6
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 4.09
  22. ask_wall_size : 90674
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0562
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0613
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7040
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    4.0343
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    3.96245
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    3.998375
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1786158000
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1786327200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.88
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    48
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7785
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1786323600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    4.0343
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.75
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.9812
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    11
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    12
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.0382171
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
48
inside_close_ratio
0.75
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9812

Signaux confirmants (20)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 22:08 4.07180000 0%
2 22:13 4.07180000 0%
3 22:20 4.07550000 +0.091%
4 22:25 4.07550000 +0.091%
5 22:32 4.07550000 +0.091%
6 22:37 4.04460000 -0.668%
7 22:43 4.04460000 -0.668%
8 22:49 4.07100000 -0.02%
9 22:55 4.07100000 -0.02%
10 23:02 4.07100000 -0.02%
11 23:07 4.07160000 -0.005%
12 23:13 4.07160000 -0.005%
13 23:19 4.04720000 -0.604%
14 23:25 4.04720000 -0.604%
15 23:32 4.04720000 -0.604%
16 23:37 4.04490000 -0.661%
17 23:43 4.04490000 -0.661%
18 23:49 4.03780000 -0.835%
19 23:55 4.03780000 -0.835%
20 00:02 4.03780000 -0.835%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7040ms Confidence avant OB : 78%78%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.013
avg -0.056 ± 0.061
OBI Top 10 0.004

Microstructure

Mid Price
4.0645
Micro Price
4.0649
Spread
0.0246%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
4.0400
Size
77,912.60

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
4.0900
Size
90,674.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.0718 3.9946 4.2649 2.5 3.1907
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.0718
  • Stop Loss: 3.9946
  • Take Profit: 4.2649

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.9946 - 4.0718 = -0.077199999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.0718 - 4.2649 = -0.1931

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1931 / -0.077199999999999 = 2.5013

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
421.693 100 103.5643 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.077199999999999

Taille de position = 8 / -0.077199999999999 = -103.63

Taille de position USD = -103.63 x 4.0718 = -421.96

Donc, tu peux acheter -103.63 avec un stoploss a 3.9946

Avec un position size USD de -421.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -103.63 x -0.077199999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -103.63 x -0.1931 = 20.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -103.63
  • Taille de position USD -421.96
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5013

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.74 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.9 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.90
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9205 % 101.29 % 23
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.0718 3.9946 4.2649 2.5 3.1907
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.0718
  • Stop Loss: 3.9946
  • Take Profit: 4.2649

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.9946 - 4.0718 = -0.077199999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.0718 - 4.2649 = -0.1931

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1931 / -0.077199999999999 = 2.5013

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.896% (0.0772)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.364% 0.2R -0.911% 0.5R 0.4× 12
2h +0.364% 0.2R -1.368% 0.7R 0.3× 24
4h +0.376% 0.2R -1.479% 0.8R 0.3× 48
8h +0.376% 0.2R -1.876% 1.0R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +0.376% 0.2R -2.073% 1.1R 0.2× 144
24h +0.376% 0.2R -4.035% 2.1R 0.1× 288

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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