09 Aug 2026 at 22:10:28 hyperliquid

Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 4215.74 FARTCOIN at 0.133$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1376 (3.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.131 (1.43 %)

FARTCOIN LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 22:10 → 04:55 · 6 hours

Position

Entry 0.1329$

Qty 4215.7405 FARTCOIN

Size 560.1033$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1376 (+3.54%)

TP $ 19.81$

SL 0.131 (-1.43%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 2.47

Status win PnL +3.54% / +19.81$ MAE -0.80% MFE +3.56% 2.5R expires 10 Aug 10:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64085)
#22 / 46 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5784

Quality Score
0.6
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
77 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 22:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#22 / 46 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.43 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#22 / 46 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.43 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.83×ATR
4h clear 1.46×ATR
1d clear 13.03×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 22:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

09/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

09/08 21:00

Score : 0 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.430% (0.0019)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.369% 0.3R -0.798% 0.6R 0.5× 12
2h +0.406% 0.3R -0.798% 0.6R 0.5× 24
4h +2.491% 1.7R -0.798% 0.6R 3.1× 48
8h +3.559% 2.5R -0.798% 0.6R 4.5× 96
12h ★ +3.559% 2.5R -0.798% 0.6R 4.5× 143
24h +3.695% 2.6R -0.798% 0.6R 4.6× 288

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.19
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 40% late 0.61 bear_high -2.42% -0.23 09/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% early 0.62 bull_medium +0.96% +0.18 09/08 20:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 42% early 0.52 range_low +0.29% +0.19 09/08 21:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind normal range_medium
39%
noisy_chop 46% early range_low -0.12% -0.19 09/08 21:45
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 38b 5.616×ATR p90 +0.381×ATR p43
4h ↓ down early 2b 2.014×ATR p0 +0.054×ATR p4
1h ↑ up early 2b 1.396×ATR p0 -0.298×ATR p33
15m ↑ up early 5b 1.007×ATR p0 -0.089×ATR p9

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7714
  3. reason: up_bo width=1.51×ATR dur=34b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.13096235
  5. tp_price: 0.13760412
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.77139290486248
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-10T14:10:21.215918
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.77139290486248
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.0579
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0226
  15. micro_price : 0.13283059
  16. spread_pct : 0.075301
  17. mid_price : 0.13285
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.132
  19. bid_wall_size : 2406303.36
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.134
  22. ask_wall_size : 1967792.66
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0403
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0104
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6864
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.13246
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.129815
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.1311375
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1786208400
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1786327200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.5102
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    34
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7714
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1786323600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.13246
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6176
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.2284
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    8
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    6
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00175148
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
34
inside_close_ratio
0.6176
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2284

Signaux confirmants (15)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 22:10 0.13286000 -0.03%
2 22:16 0.13286000 -0.03%
3 22:51 0.13312000 +0.166%
4 22:57 0.13312000 +0.166%
5 23:04 0.13312000 +0.166%
6 23:10 0.13307000 +0.128%
7 23:15 0.13307000 +0.128%
8 23:21 0.13268000 -0.166%
9 23:27 0.13268000 -0.166%
10 23:34 0.13268000 -0.166%
11 23:39 0.13300000 +0.075%
12 23:45 0.13300000 +0.075%
13 23:51 0.13263000 -0.203%
14 23:57 0.13263000 -0.203%
15 00:04 0.13263000 -0.203%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6864ms Confidence avant OB : 77%77%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.058
avg -0.040 ± 0.010
OBI Top 10 0.023

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1329
Micro Price
0.1328
Spread
0.0753%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1320
Size
2,406,303.36

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.1340
Size
1,967,792.66

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1329 0.131 0.1376 2.47 0.1366
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1329
  • Stop Loss: 0.131
  • Take Profit: 0.1376

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.131 - 0.1329 = -0.0019

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1329 - 0.1376 = -0.0047

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0047 / -0.0019 = 2.4737

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
560.1033 100 4215.7405 6.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0019

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0019 = -4210.53

Taille de position USD = -4210.53 x 0.1329 = -559.58

Donc, tu peux acheter -4210.53 avec un stoploss a 0.131

Avec un position size USD de -559.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -4210.53 x -0.0019 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -4210.53 x -0.0047 = 19.79

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.79$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -4210.53
  • Taille de position USD -559.58
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.79
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4737

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.54 % 19.81 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.43 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
19.81 $ 3.54
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7976 % 55.79 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1329 0.131 0.1376 2.47 0.1366
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1329
  • Stop Loss: 0.131
  • Take Profit: 0.1376

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.131 - 0.1329 = -0.0019

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1329 - 0.1376 = -0.0047

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0047 / -0.0019 = 2.4737

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.430% (0.0019)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.369% 0.3R -0.798% 0.6R 0.5× 12
2h +0.406% 0.3R -0.798% 0.6R 0.5× 24
4h +2.491% 1.7R -0.798% 0.6R 3.1× 48
8h +3.559% 2.5R -0.798% 0.6R 4.5× 96
12h ★ +3.559% 2.5R -0.798% 0.6R 4.5× 143
24h +3.695% 2.6R -0.798% 0.6R 4.6× 288

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.