Long Trade on XMR

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09 Aug 2026 at 23:10:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XMR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 0.7 XMR at 399.41$ per unit. Take profit: 409.3953 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 388.002 (2.86 %)

XMR LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 09 Aug 2026 23:10 → 00:15 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 399.41$

Qty 0.7013 XMR

Size 280.0902$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 409.3953 (+2.5%)

TP $ 7$

SL 388.002 (-2.86%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.88

Status loss PnL -0.78% / -2.17$ MAE -1.11% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 10 Aug 00:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=14 > threshold=10/47

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64140)

#2 / 46 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 09/08/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7815

Quality Score

0.7

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

1 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

35.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
09/08 23:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#2 / 46 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.86 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#2 / 46 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.86 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	near	0.22×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 23:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

09/08 23:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

09/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

09/08 22:00

Score : +6 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -2.856% (11.4080)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.109%	0.4R	0.0×	12
1.2h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.109%	0.4R	0.0×	13
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.109%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.109%	0.4R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.740%	0.6R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.486%	0.2R	-1.855%	0.7R	0.3×	144

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	strong	fading	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	67%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	near 0.2ATR	0.50	bear_high	-2.42%	+0.85	09/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 43%	mid	—	—	0.37	bull_medium	+1.20%	+0.64	09/08 20:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	strong	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	67%	noisy_chop 49%	early	—	—	0.16	range_low	+0.60%	+0.40	09/08 22:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	strong	fading	compression	bull_medium	59%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	near -1.9ATR	0.07	range_low	+0.15%	+0.17	09/08 22:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	13b	—	4.494×ATR	p47	+1.46×ATR	p96
4h	↓ down	mid	3b	—	2.16×ATR	p9	+1.044×ATR	p85
1h	↑ up	early	5b	—	1.681×ATR	p7	+0.392×ATR	p38
15m	↑ up	early	4b	—	1.678×ATR	p7	+0.525×ATR	p48

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 388.00195943
tp_price: 409.39525
atr: 4.56321623
expires_at: 2026-08-10T09:10:08+00:00

Details

rank: 4
total: 46
score: 0.7296
delta_2h: 0.0862
extension_atr: 1.16
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7815
confidence: 0.983

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
399.41	388.002	409.3953	0.88	395.04

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 399.41
Stop Loss: 388.002
Take Profit: 409.3953

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 388.002 - 399.41 = -11.408
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 399.41 - 409.3953 = -9.9853
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.9853 / -11.408 = 0.8753

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
280.0902	100	0.7013	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -11.408

Taille de position = 8 / -11.408 = -0.7

Taille de position USD = -0.7 x 399.41 = -279.59

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.7 avec un stoploss a 388.002

Avec un position size USD de -279.59$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.7 x -11.408 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.7 x -9.9853 = 6.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.99$

Résumé

Taille de position -0.7
Taille de position USD -279.59
Perte potentielle 7.99
Gain potentiel 6.99
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8753

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	7 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.86 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-2.17 $	-0.78

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.1091 %	38.83 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
399.41	388.002	409.3953	0.88	395.04

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 399.41
Stop Loss: 388.002
Take Profit: 409.3953

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 388.002 - 399.41 = -11.408
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 399.41 - 409.3953 = -9.9853
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.9853 / -11.408 = 0.8753

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -2.856% (11.4080)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.109%	0.4R	0.0×	12
1.2h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.109%	0.4R	0.0×	13
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.109%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.109%	0.4R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.740%	0.6R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.486%	0.2R	-1.855%	0.7R	0.3×	144

computed 2 days ago

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