Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 4.24 XMR at 395.63$ per unit. Take profit: 399.402 (0.95 %) & Stop Loss: 393.744 (0.48 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 4.24 XMR at 395.63$ per unit. Take profit: 399.402 (0.95 %) & Stop Loss: 393.744 (0.48 %)
Position
Entry 395.63$
Qty 4.2418 XMR
Size 1678.1769$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 399.402 (+0.95%)
TP $ 16$
SL 393.744 (-0.48%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7815
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.22×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 09/08 23:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.05651 15m : 0.133271 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 09/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 09/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.657% | 1.4R | -0.028% | 0.1R | 23.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.713% | 1.5R | -0.083% | 0.2R | 8.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.733% | 1.5R | -0.096% | 0.2R | 7.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.733% | 1.5R | -0.801% | 1.7R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.446% | 3.0R | -0.918% | 1.9R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 2 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.42% | +0.85 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.37 | bull_medium | +1.20% | +0.64 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early | — | — | 0.16 | range_low | +0.60% | +0.40 | 09/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -1.9ATR | 0.07 | range_low | +0.15% | +0.17 | 09/08 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.494×ATR | p47 | +1.46×ATR | p96 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.16×ATR | p9 | +1.044×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.681×ATR | p7 | +0.392×ATR | p38 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.678×ATR | p7 | +0.525×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
65044.8
-0.00181243
64927
0.05651
64995.1
-0.00104796
64927
0.133271
64867.9
0.000910335
64927
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391.82
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0.7742
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0.832
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0.4578
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1.7189
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0.2397
0.72
0.5979
0.6888
0.5443
0.8045
0.7542
-3.6429
11.179
1
1
2
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 22:20:00 | 391.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:50:00 | 393 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 394.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 00:10:00 | 397.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:45:00 | 395.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 01:15:00 | 400.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 01:45:00 | 396.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 02:00:00 | 400.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 02:45:00 | 403.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 03:15:00 | 394.98 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 10:15:00 | 382.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:15:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 11:45:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 12:15:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 415.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 18:30:00 | 391.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:30:00 | 401.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 21:30:00 | 391.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 02:45:00 | 403.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 03:15:00 | 394.98 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 07:00:00 | 371.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-07 16:00:00 | 367.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 01:00:00 | 381.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 10:00:00 | 375.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 19:00:00 | 386.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 374.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 384.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 415.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 02:00:00 | 403.94 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 395.63 | 393.744 | 399.402 | 2 | 399.25 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 393.744 - 395.63 = -1.886
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 395.63 - 399.402 = -3.772
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.772 / -1.886 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1678.1769 | 100 | 4.2418 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.886 = -4.24
Taille de position USD = -4.24 x 395.63 = -1677.47
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.24 avec un stoploss a 393.744
Avec un position size USD de -1677.47$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.24 x -1.886 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.24 x -3.772 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.95 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5535 % | 116.11 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 395.63 | 393.744 | 399.402 | 2 | 399.25 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 393.744 - 395.63 = -1.886
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 395.63 - 399.402 = -3.772
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.772 / -1.886 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.657% | 1.4R | -0.028% | 0.1R | 23.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.713% | 1.5R | -0.083% | 0.2R | 8.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.733% | 1.5R | -0.096% | 0.2R | 7.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.733% | 1.5R | -0.801% | 1.7R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.446% | 3.0R | -0.918% | 1.9R | 1.6× | 144 |
computed 2 days ago
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