Short Trade on LINK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 69.6 LINK at 8.197$ per unit. Take profit: 7.9097 (3.51 %) & Stop Loss: 8.312 (1.4 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 00:31:57
hyperliquid
LINK
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 00:31
→ 07:20
· 6 hours
Position
Entry 8.1971$
Qty 69.6014 LINK
Size 570.5294$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 7.9097 (+3.51%)
TP $ 20$
SL 8.312 (-1.4%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.40%
/ -8$
MAE -2.10%
MFE +0.25%
0.2R
expires
10 Aug 12:31
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64153)
#33 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 00:00
score du 10/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3652
Quality Score
0.5
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 00:30
10/08 00:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#33 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.40 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#33 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.40 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.30×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.64×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.73×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 10/08 00:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 10/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 10/08 00:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.402%
(0.1149)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.249% | 0.2R | -0.210% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.249% | 0.2R | -0.562% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.249% | 0.2R | -0.562% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.249% | 0.2R | -2.104% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.249% | 0.2R | -2.104% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.249% | 0.2R | -3.184% | 2.3R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 17 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.47
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.86 | bear_high | -2.42% | -0.29 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.85 | bull_medium | +1.06% | -0.12 | 10/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
34%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.74 | range_low | +0.42% | -0.18 | 10/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_low |
45%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.70 | range_low | -0.02% | -0.02 | 10/08 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 14b | — | 2.485×ATR | p0 | +0.016×ATR | p1 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.279×ATR | p9 | -0.756×ATR | p71 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.192×ATR | p2 | -0.57×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 0.809×ATR | p0 | +0.063×ATR | p6 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8368
- reason: down_bo width=2.34×ATR dur=46b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 8.31204026
- tp_price: 7.90974935
- atr:
- score: 0.83682935067269
- expires_at: 2026-08-10T16:31:50.211171
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83682935067269
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1828
- obi_top10 : 0.1698
- micro_price : 8.19855362
- spread_pct : 0.012198
- mid_price : 8.1985
- bid_wall_price : 8.18
- bid_wall_size : 182978
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 8.22
- ask_wall_size : 99744
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1342
- obi_top5_std : 0.0426
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6919
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
8.3656
- balance_zone_bottom:
8.24845
- balance_zone_mid:
8.307025
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786172400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786334400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3359
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
46
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8368
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786316400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
8.24845
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8696
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
5
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0239
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.0501526 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.8696
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0239
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:31 | 8.19710000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:37 | 8.19050000 | -0.081% |
| 3 | 00:43 | 8.19050000 | -0.081% |
| 4 | 00:49 | 8.20120000 | +0.05% |
| 5 | 00:55 | 8.20120000 | +0.05% |
| 6 | 01:02 | 8.20120000 | +0.05% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6919ms
Confidence avant OB :
84%
→
84%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.183
avg 0.134
± 0.043
OBI Top 10
0.170
Microstructure
Mid Price
8.1985
Micro Price
8.1986
Spread
0.0122%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
8.1800
Size
182,978.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
8.2200
Size
99,744.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1971 | 8.312 | 7.9097 | 2.5 | 8.7735 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 8.1971
- Stop Loss: 8.312
- Take Profit: 7.9097
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.312 - 8.1971 = 0.1149
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.1971 - 7.9097 = 0.2874
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2874 / 0.1149 = 2.5013
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 570.5294 | 100 | 69.6014 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.1149
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1149 = 69.63
Taille de position USD = 69.63 x 8.1971 = 570.76
Donc, tu peux acheter 69.63 avec un stoploss a 8.312
Avec un position size USD de 570.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 69.63 x 0.1149 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 69.63 x 0.2874 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position 69.63
- Taille de position USD 570.76
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5013
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.51 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.4 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4639 % | 104.44 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1971 | 8.312 | 7.9097 | 2.5 | 8.7735 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 8.1971
- Stop Loss: 8.312
- Take Profit: 7.9097
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.312 - 8.1971 = 0.1149
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.1971 - 7.9097 = 0.2874
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2874 / 0.1149 = 2.5013
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.402%
(0.1149)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.249% | 0.2R | -0.210% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.249% | 0.2R | -0.562% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.249% | 0.2R | -0.562% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.249% | 0.2R | -2.104% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.249% | 0.2R | -2.104% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.249% | 0.2R | -3.184% | 2.3R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 17 hours ago