Observation #10226

← Research Observations / #10226

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-01 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$84,095.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,932,237,003

Synced: 10-01 04:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-01 02:00) Next (10-01 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6778

evaluated_at: 2026-10-01 02:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00029034

Settled at: 2026-10-01 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)34,561.54

OI (USD)$2,909,010,605

Mark price$84,169.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,835,945,319

Snapshot at: 2026-10-01 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.059%

Change 4h -0.964%

Change 24h -2.225%

Z-score 7d 0.08

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001004%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.752%

Divergence 1.64

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.007

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.65

OI momentum 4h

+0.383%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+21 crowded

Time: 2026-10-01 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187496	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.604	normal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 15b 0.7ATR	—	—	1.06	75%	↔ +0.04	above_value	-0.97	—	#101556	—	—	—	—	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:15	↗
4h #189185	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.603	volatile_reversal	bull_high	47%	noisy_chop 37%	early 3b -0.3ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.35	18%	↓ -0.19	value	-1.23	—	#102098	—	—	—	—	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #190431	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.518	compression	range_medium	41%	noisy_chop 38%	early 4b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.31	22%	↓ -0.79	above_value	+0.45	—	#102643	—	—	—	—	01/10 02:00 upd 01/10 03:05	↗
15m #190359	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.659	expansion_after_compression	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 44%	early 3b 0.6ATR	—	near -1.3ATR	0.98	36%	↑ +0.32	above_value	+0.45	—	#102643	—	—	—	—	01/10 02:45 upd 01/10 03:00	↗
5m #190358	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.615	compression	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 9b -0.9ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	0.43	22%	↔ +0.01	above_value	+0.45	—	#102643	—	—	—	—	01/10 02:55 upd 01/10 03:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #169123	fresh	2026-10-01 02:00	0s	0.466	0.518	56/76	2026-10-01 03:00	2026-10-01 03:35
4h #168893	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	3h	0.496	0.523	48/77	2026-10-01 00:00	2026-10-01 00:37
1d #168509	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	7h	0.618	0.658	31/76	2026-09-30 20:00	2026-09-30 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #102720	fresh	2026-10-01 02:45	0s	$83,725.42	$84,513.23	$83,381.45	value	2.32	7.09
7d #102797	fresh	2026-10-01 02:00	0s	$84,085.11	$84,510.53	$83,298.72	hvn	0.02	2.87
30d #102332	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	3h	$77,154.77	$83,491.13	$74,903.00	value	7.30	9.99

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,982.00 → $83,381.45	0.48%	2.50	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $713.55	+4.47
below	$85,489.66 → $85,645.00	0.18%	0.97	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,394.66	-8.74

Prix observé : $84,095.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$85,077.77 → $85,645.00	0.66%	1.34	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $982.77	-2.32

Prix observé : $84,095.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,531.40	0.84%	0.73	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,563.60	+9.96
above	$81,605.93 → $82,862.73	1.53%	1.46	0.71	reversion	✓	↑ $1,232.27	+1.43
below	$86,633.13 → $87,471.00	0.96%	0.97	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,538.13	-2.95

Prix observé : $84,095.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	03:05	03:20	-0.31%	-0.57×	+0.21×	-0.60×	10m	15m	High first	0.78	0.00%	-0.31%	9.91%	0.44%	$16.64M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	03:05	04:05	-0.75%	-1.38×	+0.21×	-1.75×	10m	25m	High first	0.42	0.00%	-0.75%	72.19%	1.06%	$147.51M	— / —	03:20 / —	—	100%
4h	computed	03:05	07:05	-0.28%	-0.52×	+0.21×	-2.12×	10m	1h30m	High first	0.06	0.00%	-0.28%	50.83%	1.26%	$411.79M	— / —	03:20 / 04:30	—	100%
12h	computed	03:05	15:05	+0.79%	+1.45×	+2.52×	-2.12×	11h35m	1h30m	Low first	0.05	0.00%	+0.79%	51.67%	2.52%	$1.50B	12:35 / 13:40	03:20 / 04:30	—	100%
1d	computed	03:05	03:05	+2.12%	+3.91×	+6.07×	-2.12×	21h30m	1h30m	Low first	0.08	0.00%	+2.12%	45.92%	4.45%	$2.60B	12:35 / 13:40	03:20 / 04:30	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T06:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}