Observation #10417

← Research Observations / #10417

🪙 JUP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 JUP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-01 05:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

04:00–05:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

05:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

06:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.323110

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,690,399

Synced: 10-01 06:01 +1h

← Prev (10-01 04:00) Next (10-01 06:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · JUP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1864

evaluated_at: 2026-10-01 04:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001436%

Annualized-12.58%

Premium-0.00061487

Settled at: 2026-10-01 05:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)44,775,832.00

OI (USD)$14,456,012

Mark price$0.322853

Funding next-0.001400%

Day vol (USD)$4,755,263

Snapshot at: 2026-10-01 04:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.309%

Change 4h -0.445%

Change 24h -5.007%

Z-score 7d -0.11

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000914%

Avg 24h 0.000782%

Percentile 7d 5.4%

Percentile 30d 4.6%

Δ 4h -0.002164%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.463%

Divergence -1.12

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.022

OI / Vol z-7d

1.32

OI momentum 4h

-0.401%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-01 04:00:00 OI observed: 03:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 04:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187646	fresh	9h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.699	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	68%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 14b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.67	86%	↑ +0.70	above_value	+0.45	—	#101590	0.59	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.99	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:23	↗
4h #190887	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.695	normal	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 20b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.20	40%	↓ -0.86	above_value	-0.89	—	#102987	0.47	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.87	01/10 00:00 upd 01/10 04:14	↗
1h anchor #191326	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.379	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 5b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.66	31%	↓ -0.75	above_value	-0.71	—	#103224	0.52	range_medium	-0.29%	-0.25	01/10 04:00 upd 01/10 05:10	↗
15m #191250	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.491	normal	bear_medium	60%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 5b -1.3ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.44	23%	↑ +0.35	above_value	-0.89	—	#102987	0.59	range_low	-0.27%	-0.25	01/10 04:45 upd 01/10 05:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #169389	fresh	2026-10-01 04:00	0s	0.402	0.390	77/78	2026-10-01 05:00	2026-10-01 05:36
4h #169311	fresh	2026-10-01 00:00	1h	0.392	0.482	65/78	2026-10-01 04:00	2026-10-01 04:38
1d #168543	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	9h	0.594	0.759	38/76	2026-09-30 20:00	2026-09-30 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #103145	fresh	2026-10-01 04:45	0s	$0.331061	$0.333805	$0.324066	between	-3.43	4.20
7d #103224	fresh	2026-10-01 04:00	0s	$0.326946	$0.348648	$0.318660	hvn	-0.71	5.55
30d #103066	fresh	2026-10-01 00:00	1h	$0.243156	$0.323671	$0.211651	hvn	6.50	8.41

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.320170 → $0.322295	0.66%	0.92	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000815	+0.35
below	$0.335045 → $0.336639	0.47%	0.69	0.56	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.011935	-5.14
below	$0.339826 → $0.341420	0.47%	0.69	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.016716	-7.20

Prix observé : $0.323110. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.280780 → $0.295774	5.20%	2.77	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.027336	+5.06
above	$0.309979 → $0.313925	1.26%	0.73	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.009185	+1.70
below	$0.370745 → $0.375480	1.27%	0.88	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.047635	-8.81

Prix observé : $0.323110. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.308268 → $0.316670	2.69%	0.63	0.38	reversion	—	↑ $0.006440	+0.48
below	$0.353076 → $0.375480	6.15%	1.68	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.029966	-2.25

Prix observé : $0.323110. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T08:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T08:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}