Observation #10439

← Research Observations / #10439

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-01 05:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

04:00–05:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

05:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

06:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.0630

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $10,244,947

Synced: 10-01 06:02 +1h

← Prev (10-01 04:00) Next (10-01 06:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1864

evaluated_at: 2026-10-01 04:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000665%

Annualized-5.82%

Premium-0.00055317

Settled at: 2026-10-01 05:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,820,377.20

OI (USD)$11,977,754

Mark price$2.0579

Funding next-0.000492%

Day vol (USD)$10,319,272

Snapshot at: 2026-10-01 04:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +1.386%

Change 4h +1.147%

Change 24h +5.833%

Z-score 7d 0.68

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.001300%

Avg 24h 0.001148%

Percentile 7d 6.5%

Percentile 30d 23.2%

Δ 4h -0.002550%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -3.693%

Divergence -2.21 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.191

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.99

OI momentum 4h

-4.962%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-01 04:00:00 OI observed: 03:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 04:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187714	fresh	9h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.536	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 32b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.56	54%	↔ +0.13	value	-1.31	—	#101611	0.47	bull_high	+12.59%	-0.31	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:25	↗
4h #190945	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.556	volatile_reversal	bear_high	43%	noisy_chop 34%	early 1b -0.1ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	3.06	87%	↑ +0.21	above_value	-1.14	—	#103009	0.31	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.23	01/10 00:00 upd 01/10 04:17	↗
1h anchor #191348	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.646	expansion_after_compression	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 34%	late 6b -0.5ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.58	78%	↑ +0.67	above_value	-0.90	—	#103246	0.50	range_medium	-0.29%	+0.04	01/10 04:00 upd 01/10 05:11	↗
15m #191272	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.442	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 41%	late 10b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.12	51%	↓ -0.48	above_value	-1.14	—	#103009	0.39	range_low	-0.27%	-0.48	01/10 04:45 upd 01/10 05:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #169411	fresh	2026-10-01 04:00	0s	0.541	0.467	23/78	2026-10-01 05:00	2026-10-01 05:36
4h #169333	fresh	2026-10-01 00:00	1h	0.577	0.433	11/78	2026-10-01 04:00	2026-10-01 04:38
1d #168564	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	9h	0.357	0.523	76/76	2026-09-30 20:00	2026-09-30 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #103167	fresh	2026-10-01 04:45	0s	$2.1436	$2.2514	$2.0891	between	-3.12	6.29
7d #103246	fresh	2026-10-01 04:00	0s	$2.1065	$2.1456	$2.0296	hvn	-0.90	2.40
30d #103088	fresh	2026-10-01 00:00	1h	$1.9919	$2.2698	$1.9422	value	2.14	4.50

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.0159 → $2.0337	0.88%	0.69	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.029288	+1.14
below	$2.1129 → $2.1327	0.93%	0.77	0.54	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.049879	-1.93
below	$2.2000 → $2.2534	2.40%	2.07	0.37	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.136962	-5.31

Prix observé : $2.0630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2.1887 → $2.2534	2.91%	1.34	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.125700	-2.60

Prix observé : $2.0630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.8135 → $1.9130	5.34%	1.37	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.150050	+2.06
below	$2.4395 → $2.5155	3.07%	1.05	0.91	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.376450	-5.18

Prix observé : $2.0630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T08:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T08:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}