Observation #11066

← Research Observations / #11066

🪙 NIL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 NIL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-01 13:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

12:00–13:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

13:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

14:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.082910

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,210,107

Synced: 10-01 14:02 +1h

← Prev (10-01 12:00) Next (10-01 14:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · NIL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2611

evaluated_at: 2026-10-01 12:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00053166

Settled at: 2026-10-01 13:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)83,908,568.00

OI (USD)$6,975,907

Mark price$0.083137

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,336,623

Snapshot at: 2026-10-01 12:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +1.700%

Change 4h +1.243%

Change 24h -2.489%

Z-score 7d 1.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 81.0%

Percentile 30d 80.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -2.803%

Divergence -0.92

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.974

OI / Vol z-7d

3.33 extrême

OI momentum 4h

+0.566%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+788 crowded

Time: 2026-10-01 12:00:00 OI observed: 11:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 12:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187723	fresh	17h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.827	volatile_reversal	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 45%	early 6b 0.5ATR	—	—	0.86	93%	↑ +0.99	below_value	-14.87	—	#101614	0.30	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:25	↗
4h #194251	fresh	1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.487	compression	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 37%	early 6b -0.6ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	0.54	69%	↓ -0.18	below_value	-10.96	—	#104424	0.13	bull_high	+2.03%	-0.40	01/10 08:00 upd 01/10 12:17	↗
1h anchor #194639	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.404	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 38%	early 2b -1.0ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.54	6%	↔ -0.06	below_value	-10.77	—	#104655	0.10	range_medium	+0.44%	-0.40	01/10 12:00 upd 01/10 13:11	↗
15m #194564	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.398	expansion	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 38%	early 4b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.40	28%	↑ +0.36	below_value	-10.96	—	#104424	0.05	range_low	+0.42%	-0.18	01/10 12:45 upd 01/10 13:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #170187	fresh	2026-10-01 12:00	0s	0.348	0.274	77/77	2026-10-01 13:00	2026-10-01 13:36
4h #170110	fresh	2026-10-01 08:00	1h	0.297	0.396	76/77	2026-10-01 12:00	2026-10-01 12:39
1d #168567	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	17h	0.568	0.714	44/76	2026-09-30 20:00	2026-09-30 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #104578	fresh	2026-10-01 12:45	0s	$0.085955	$0.086928	$0.083423	between	-3.08	3.55
7d #104655	fresh	2026-10-01 12:00	0s	$0.108360	$0.122810	$0.084452	hvn	-10.77	16.24
30d #104501	fresh	2026-10-01 08:00	1h	$0.114093	$0.140392	$0.085949	hvn	-4.87	8.28

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.080775 → $0.081710	1.15%	0.95	0.92	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001200	+1.21
below	$0.088642 → $0.090122	1.66%	1.50	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.005732	-5.80

Prix observé : $0.082910. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.077096 → $0.078672	2.02%	0.67	0.48	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.004238	+1.79
below	$0.091809 → $0.096012	4.48%	1.78	0.33	reversion	—	↓ $0.008899	-3.77
below	$0.122810 → $0.124912	1.70%	0.89	0.32	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.039900	-16.89
below	$0.132268 → $0.140150	5.79%	3.34	0.62	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.049358	-20.89

Prix observé : $0.082910. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.038888 → $0.046270	17.34%	1.12	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.036640	+5.57
above	$0.052729 → $0.062880	17.56%	1.54	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.020030	+3.04
above	$0.070262 → $0.076721	8.79%	0.98	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006189	+0.94
below	$0.145929 → $0.149620	2.50%	0.56	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.063019	-9.58

Prix observé : $0.082910. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T16:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T16:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}