Observation #11212

← Research Observations / #11212

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-10-01 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.220140

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,405,884

Synced: 10-01 16:02 +1h

← Prev (10-01 14:00) Next (10-01 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6497

evaluated_at: 2026-10-01 14:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00012776

Settled at: 2026-10-01 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)100,705,910.00

OI (USD)$22,136,871

Mark price$0.219817

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,489,326

Snapshot at: 2026-10-01 14:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +1.449%

Change 4h -1.237%

Change 24h -2.890%

Z-score 7d 0.57

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001539%

Percentile 7d 48.2%

Percentile 30d 80.1%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.732%

Divergence 0.88

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.126

OI / Vol z-7d

0.31

OI momentum 4h

+0.701%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+344 crowded

Time: 2026-10-01 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187692	fresh	19h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.488	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	53%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 19b 1.3ATR	—	near -0.7ATR	1.45	90%	↑ +0.72	above_value	+0.18	—	#101604	0.58	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.94	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:24	↗
4h #194221	fresh	3h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.675	expansion	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 37%	early 13b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.78	87%	↓ -0.62	above_value	-3.00	—	#104414	0.69	bull_high	+2.03%	+0.36	01/10 08:00 upd 01/10 12:16	↗
1h anchor #195410	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.359	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 41%	early 3b -0.9ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	1.01	66%	↑ +0.52	above_value	-2.43	—	#104957	0.61	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.11%	-0.43	01/10 14:00 upd 01/10 15:11	↗
15m #195335	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.636	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 34%	early 8b 0.0ATR	—	near -0.3ATR	0.08	12%	↓ -0.36	above_value	-2.33	—	#104801	0.67	bull_low_confirmed	+0.95%	-0.11	01/10 14:45 upd 01/10 15:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #170331	fresh	2026-10-01 14:00	0s	0.488	0.409	41/77	2026-10-01 15:00	2026-10-01 15:36
4h #170100	fresh	2026-10-01 08:00	3h	0.491	0.516	34/77	2026-10-01 12:00	2026-10-01 12:38
1d #168557	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	19h	0.681	0.854	15/76	2026-09-30 20:00	2026-09-30 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #104879	fresh	2026-10-01 14:45	0s	$0.227710	$0.229792	$0.219796	hvn	-5.33	7.04
7d #104957	fresh	2026-10-01 14:00	0s	$0.227124	$0.229260	$0.216195	hvn	-2.43	4.54
30d #104491	fresh	2026-10-01 08:00	3h	$0.185333	$0.219153	$0.172960	hvn	4.57	6.56

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.224318 → $0.225389	0.48%	0.75	0.55	reversion	✓	↓ $0.004178	-2.94
below	$0.229316 → $0.231220	0.83%	1.34	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.009176	-6.46

Prix observé : $0.220140. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.207150 → $0.209662	1.21%	0.87	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.010478	+3.64
below	$0.233783 → $0.237300	1.49%	1.22	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.013643	-4.74

Prix observé : $0.220140. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.197706 → $0.207604	4.88%	1.40	0.53	reversion	✓	↑ $0.012536	+1.78
below	$0.233451 → $0.237300	1.64%	0.55	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.013311	-1.89

Prix observé : $0.220140. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T18:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T18:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}