Observation #11448

← Research Observations / #11448

🪙 PENGU page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PENGU

Market snapshot at

2026-10-01 18:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

17:00–18:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

18:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

19:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.009374

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,932,549

Synced: 10-01 19:01 +1h

← Prev (10-01 17:00) Next (10-01 19:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PENGU — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1808

evaluated_at: 2026-10-01 17:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00013393

Settled at: 2026-10-01 18:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)1,587,878,232.00

OI (USD)$14,856,189

Mark price$0.009356

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,076,341

Snapshot at: 2026-10-01 17:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.194%

Change 4h +0.316%

Change 24h -2.510%

Z-score 7d -0.08

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001209%

Percentile 7d 79.8%

Percentile 30d 90.7%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.874%

Divergence -0.82

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.496

OI / Vol z-7d

1.36

OI momentum 4h

+1.751%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+66 crowded

Time: 2026-10-01 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187701	fresh	22h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.681	volatile_reversal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 37%	early 15b 0.6ATR	—	near -0.4ATR	1.23	88%	↑ +0.90	value	-1.08	—	#101607	0.72	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.95	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:24	↗
4h #195870	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.491	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 31%	early 7b -0.4ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.42	51%	↓ -0.42	below_value	-2.37	—	#105116	0.57	bull_high	+2.58%	-0.27	01/10 12:00 upd 01/10 16:17	↗
1h anchor #196662	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.486	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 3b -1.2ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.04	1%	↓ -0.61	below_value	-2.82	—	#105506	0.55	range_medium	+0.74%	-0.35	01/10 17:00 upd 01/10 18:12	↗
15m #196587	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.455	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 7b -1.4ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	0.07	1%	↓ -0.91	below_value	-2.17	—	#105350	0.69	range_low	+0.46%	+0.05	01/10 17:45 upd 01/10 18:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #170642	fresh	2026-10-01 17:00	0s	0.424	0.395	61/77	2026-10-01 18:00	2026-10-01 18:36
4h #170488	fresh	2026-10-01 12:00	2h	0.469	0.589	54/77	2026-10-01 16:00	2026-10-01 16:38
1d #168560	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	22h	0.513	0.641	59/76	2026-09-30 20:00	2026-09-30 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #105428	fresh	2026-10-01 17:45	0s	$0.009614	$0.009723	$0.009307	value	-3.44	5.96
7d #105506	fresh	2026-10-01 17:00	0s	$0.009861	$0.010295	$0.009541	between	-2.82	4.40
30d #105194	fresh	2026-10-01 12:00	2h	$0.009802	$0.010535	$0.008544	hvn	-0.61	4.61

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.009220 → $0.009294	0.80%	1.07	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000080	+1.15
below	$0.009754 → $0.009835	0.82%	1.16	0.54	reversion	✓	↓ $0.000380	-5.42

Prix observé : $0.009374. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.008984 → $0.009148	1.81%	0.96	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000226	+1.32
below	$0.010622 → $0.010950	3.04%	1.91	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001248	-7.28

Prix observé : $0.009374. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.006666 → $0.007154	7.07%	1.13	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002220	+5.14
below	$0.010647 → $0.011173	4.82%	1.22	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001273	-2.95

Prix observé : $0.009374. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T21:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T21:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}