Observation #11468

← Research Observations / #11468

🪙 MEGA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MEGA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-01 18:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

17:00–18:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

18:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

19:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.052332

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,957,498

Synced: 10-01 19:02 +1h

← Prev (10-01 17:00) Next (10-01 19:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MEGA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1808

evaluated_at: 2026-10-01 17:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00035809

Settled at: 2026-10-01 18:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)184,658,384.00

OI (USD)$9,627,719

Mark price$0.052138

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,907,491

Snapshot at: 2026-10-01 17:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.203%

Change 4h +5.471%

Change 24h —

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.005295%

Avg 24h 0.004450%

Percentile 7d 93.5%

Percentile 30d 91.7%

Δ 4h +0.004045%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -2.214%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.975

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

+3.618%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+912 crowded

Time: 2026-10-01 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 12 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #192710	fresh	22h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.700	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 42%	early 7b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.43	37%	↔ +0.11	above_value	+1.63	—	#103735	0.37	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.37	29/09 20:00 upd 01/10 08:24	↗
4h #195930	fresh	2h	↑ up	range	range	strong	fading	0.515	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 49%	late 5b 3.3ATR	—	—	8.43	100%	↑ +0.89	value	+3.56	—	#105136	0.45	bull_high	+2.58%	+0.97	01/10 12:00 upd 01/10 16:19	↗
1h anchor #196682	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.817	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	73%	noisy_chop 47%	late 3b 1.6ATR	—	—	0.36	93%	↑ +0.72	above_value	+3.60	—	#105526	0.42	range_medium	+0.74%	+0.95	01/10 17:00 upd 01/10 18:13	↗
15m #196528	fresh	15min	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	moderate	balanced	0.623	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 41%	early 3b 0.8ATR	—	near -0.3ATR	0.07	53%	↓ -0.88	value	+2.83	—	#105370	0.28	range_low	+0.41%	+0.15	01/10 17:30 upd 01/10 17:48	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #170661	fresh	2026-10-01 17:00	0s	0.768	0.868	1/77	2026-10-01 18:00	2026-10-01 18:37
4h #170507	fresh	2026-10-01 12:00	2h	0.849	0.866	2/77	2026-10-01 16:00	2026-10-01 16:39
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #105448	fresh	2026-10-01 17:45	0s	$0.054431	$0.055798	$0.047479	value	-1.75	6.93
7d #105526	fresh	2026-10-01 17:00	0s	$0.045550	$0.052233	$0.040648	hvn	3.60	6.13
30d #105214	fresh	2026-10-01 12:00	2h	$0.042099	$0.046665	$0.038837	lvn LVN	5.61	3.69

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.041536 → $0.042962	3.38%	1.19	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.009370	+7.81
above	$0.043200 → $0.044270	2.45%	0.89	0.56	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.008062	+6.72
above	$0.048073 → $0.048905	1.72%	0.69	0.70	reversion	✓	↑ $0.003427	+2.86

Prix observé : $0.052332. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.047778 → $0.050451	5.44%	1.41	0.67	reversion	✓	↑ $0.001881	+1.00

Prix observé : $0.052332. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.047970 → $0.050393	4.93%	1.14	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.001939	+0.91
inside	$0.051698 → $0.055798	7.63%	1.93	0.66	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.052332. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T21:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T21:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}