Observation #12003

← Research Observations / #12003

🪙 ASTER page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ASTER

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 01:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

00:00–01:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

01:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

02:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.748820

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,575,197

Synced: 10-02 02:02 +1h

← Prev (10-02 00:00) Next (10-02 02:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ASTER — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7833

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 00:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00008036

Settled at: 2026-10-02 01:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,003,042.00

OI (USD)$28,473,019

Mark price$0.749230

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,522,533

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 00:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.159%

Change 4h +0.107%

Change 24h +0.414%

Z-score 7d 0.12

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001341%

Percentile 7d 88.7%

Percentile 30d 88.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.880%

Divergence 0.65

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.362

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.10

OI momentum 4h

-0.142%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+435 crowded

Time: 2026-10-02 00:00:00 OI observed: 23:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 00:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197698	fresh	5h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.546	compression	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 37%	early 8b 0.4ATR	near 0.1ATR	near 0.0ATR	0.93	70%	↑ +0.50	above_value	-0.16	—	#105829	0.57	bull_high	+13.92%	-0.12	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:26	↗
4h #199272	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.721	normal	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 37%	early 9b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.35	37%	↔ +0.10	above_value	+0.11	—	#106531	0.39	bull_high	+3.48%	+0.33	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 00:18	↗
1h anchor #199638	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.642	compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 40%	early 3b 0.8ATR	—	—	0.99	67%	↓ -0.37	value	+1.25	—	#106764	0.53	bull_medium_confirmed	+3.06%	-0.35	02/10 00:00 upd 02/10 01:11	↗
15m #199563	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.692	volatile_reversal	range_medium	33%	noisy_chop 41%	late 11b 1.9ATR	—	near -1.5ATR	1.33	52%	↑ +0.43	above_value	+0.11	—	#106531	0.46	bull_low_confirmed	+2.45%	-0.11	02/10 00:45 upd 02/10 01:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #171427	fresh	2026-10-02 00:00	0s	0.478	0.544	64/75	2026-10-02 01:00	2026-10-02 01:37
4h #171352	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	1h	0.523	0.603	22/78	2026-10-02 00:00	2026-10-02 00:39
1d #170961	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	5h	0.467	0.637	61/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #106687	fresh	2026-10-02 00:45	0s	$0.741593	$0.746007	$0.734562	between	2.15	3.41
7d #106764	fresh	2026-10-02 00:00	0s	$0.739469	$0.765677	$0.723895	value	1.25	5.60
30d #106610	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	1h	$0.735655	$0.791678	$0.710017	hvn	0.31	5.00

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.751566 → $0.754836	0.43%	0.97	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002746	-0.82
below	$0.755490 → $0.757779	0.30%	0.68	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006670	-1.99
below	$0.763338 → $0.765954	0.34%	0.78	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.014518	-4.33

Prix observé : $0.748820. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.690470 → $0.698826	1.20%	1.12	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.049994	+6.70
above	$0.711741 → $0.717058	0.74%	0.71	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.031762	+4.26
below	$0.772514 → $0.781630	1.17%	1.22	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.023694	-3.17

Prix observé : $0.748820. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.641650 → $0.672035	4.63%	1.86	0.90	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.076785	+4.70
below	$0.823962 → $0.869540	5.38%	2.79	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.075142	-4.60

Prix observé : $0.748820. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T04:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T04:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}