Observation #12018

← Research Observations / #12018

🪙 ETH page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ETH

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2,721.40

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,172,735,655

Synced: 10-02 03:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-02 01:00) Next (10-02 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ETH — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.776

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 01:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00031513

Settled at: 2026-10-02 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)1,180,811.69

OI (USD)$3,209,788,613

Mark price$2,718.29

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,185,501,326

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 01:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.036%

Change 4h +0.191%

Change 24h +0.560%

Z-score 7d -0.17

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 96.3%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.180%

Divergence 0.24

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.891

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.49

OI momentum 4h

+0.374%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+380 crowded

Time: 2026-10-02 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197477	fresh	6h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.632	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 37%	early 16b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.86	65%	↔ -0.13	value	+0.98	—	#105766	0.91	bull_high	+13.92%	-0.21	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:15	↗
4h #199118	fresh	2h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.646	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 11b 0.9ATR	near 0.5ATR	near -0.1ATR	0.74	46%	↔ -0.09	above_value	+1.86	—	#106467	0.84	bull_high	+3.48%	-0.08	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 00:12	↗
1h anchor #199956	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.686	expansion_after_compression	bull_medium	59%	noisy_chop 36%	early 1b 0.7ATR	near 0.5ATR	near -0.6ATR	2.07	93%	↔ -0.06	above_value	+1.69	—	#106856	0.86	bull_medium_confirmed	+2.23%	-0.15	02/10 01:00 upd 02/10 02:09	↗
15m #199885	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.791	expansion_after_compression	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 5b 0.0ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.56	55%	↑ +0.63	above_value	+3.05	—	#106702	0.91	bull_low	+1.52%	-0.10	02/10 01:45 upd 02/10 02:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #171442	fresh	2026-10-02 01:00	0s	0.576	0.507	24/76	2026-10-02 02:00	2026-10-02 02:35
4h #171289	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	2h	0.504	0.555	31/78	2026-10-02 00:00	2026-10-02 00:37
1d #170899	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	6h	0.593	0.696	24/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #106779	fresh	2026-10-02 01:45	0s	$2,701.41	$2,711.20	$2,677.09	between	2.08	3.55
7d #106856	fresh	2026-10-02 01:00	0s	$2,689.84	$2,713.43	$2,670.11	between	1.69	2.32
30d #106546	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	2h	$2,690.46	$2,775.49	$2,480.71	value	0.82	8.48

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2,728.89 → $2,735.84	0.25%	0.72	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $7.4867	-0.78
below	$2,743.42 → $2,749.10	0.21%	0.59	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $22.0150	-2.29

Prix observé : $2,721.40. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2,634.50 → $2,653.75	0.73%	1.03	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $67.6500	+3.62
below	$2,740.38 → $2,750.00	0.35%	0.51	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $18.9750	-1.01

Prix observé : $2,721.40. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2,356.00 → $2,374.90	0.80%	0.54	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $346.50	+9.96
above	$2,544.96 → $2,567.63	0.89%	0.65	0.57	reversion	✓	↑ $153.77	+4.42
above	$2,586.53 → $2,609.20	0.87%	0.65	0.56	reversion	✓	↑ $112.20	+3.23
below	$2,764.15 → $2,809.50	1.63%	1.30	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $42.7500	-1.23

Prix observé : $2,721.40. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T05:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T05:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}