Observation #12068

← Research Observations / #12068

🪙 PENGU page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PENGU

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.009884

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,273,406

Synced: 10-02 03:01 +1h

← Prev (10-02 01:00) Next (10-02 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PENGU — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.776

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 01:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00014167

Settled at: 2026-10-02 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)1,626,714,678.00

OI (USD)$16,067,061

Mark price$0.009877

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,398,321

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 01:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.617%

Change 4h +2.735%

Change 24h +0.780%

Z-score 7d 0.36

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001126%

Percentile 7d 79.8%

Percentile 30d 90.7%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +4.218%

Divergence 0.98

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.035

OI / Vol z-7d

0.70

OI momentum 4h

+3.698%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+74 crowded

Time: 2026-10-02 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197668	fresh	6h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.681	volatile_reversal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 37%	early 16b 0.4ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.52	65%	↑ +0.89	below_value	-2.56	—	#105815	0.72	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.94	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:24	↗
4h #199230	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.496	compression	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 31%	early 9b -0.2ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	1.19	79%	↓ -0.32	value	-2.16	—	#106517	0.57	bull_high	+3.48%	+0.09	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 00:17	↗
1h anchor #200007	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.492	normal	bull_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 43%	late 8b 1.8ATR	—	—	1.16	60%	↔ +0.07	above_value	+0.50	—	#106906	0.56	bull_medium_confirmed	+2.23%	-0.09	02/10 01:00 upd 02/10 02:11	↗
15m #199933	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.711	volatile_reversal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 52%	late 4b 1.9ATR	—	near -0.4ATR	0.08	22%	↑ +0.78	above_value	+0.60	—	#106752	0.73	bull_low	+1.52%	+0.29	02/10 01:45 upd 02/10 02:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #171492	fresh	2026-10-02 01:00	0s	0.590	0.555	22/76	2026-10-02 02:00	2026-10-02 02:36
4h #171340	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	2h	0.491	0.563	35/78	2026-10-02 00:00	2026-10-02 00:38
1d #170948	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	6h	0.493	0.702	55/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #106829	fresh	2026-10-02 01:45	0s	$0.009482	$0.009679	$0.009343	between	4.79	4.00
7d #106906	fresh	2026-10-02 01:00	0s	$0.009861	$0.010295	$0.009525	hvn	0.50	4.71
30d #106596	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	2h	$0.009802	$0.010535	$0.008544	value	-0.69	4.91

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.009220 → $0.009291	0.77%	0.85	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000593	+7.07
above	$0.009750 → $0.009821	0.73%	0.85	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.000063	+0.75

Prix observé : $0.009884. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.008984 → $0.009148	1.81%	1.00	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000736	+4.49
below	$0.010622 → $0.010950	3.04%	2.00	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000738	-4.50

Prix observé : $0.009884. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.006666 → $0.007154	7.07%	1.20	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002730	+6.74
below	$0.010647 → $0.011173	4.82%	1.30	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000763	-1.88

Prix observé : $0.009884. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T05:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T05:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}