Observation #12187

← Research Observations / #12187

🪙 LINK page 📊 Market Context

🪙 LINK

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$14.3630

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $29,276,582

Synced: 10-02 05:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-02 03:00) Next (10-02 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · LINK — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.694

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 03:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00007449

Settled at: 2026-10-02 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)6,168,839.20

OI (USD)$88,572,193

Mark price$14.3580

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$29,463,408

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 03:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.076%

Change 4h +0.911%

Change 24h -1.355%

Z-score 7d 0.10

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000685%

Percentile 7d 94.6%

Percentile 30d 88.5%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.623%

Divergence -0.85

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.051

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.13

OI momentum 4h

-1.695%

Funding +ratio 24h

80.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-02 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197537	fresh	8h	↑ up	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.651	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 15b 1.2ATR	—	—	1.41	97%	↑ +0.79	above_value	+0.25	—	#105778	0.83	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.85	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:18	↗
4h #200746	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.730	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 19b -0.1ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.52	67%	↓ -0.43	above_value	-0.13	—	#107178	0.61	bull_high	+4.12%	-0.78	02/10 00:00 upd 02/10 04:12	↗
1h anchor #200745	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.598	expansion	range_high	34%	noisy_chop 37%	early 3b -0.1ATR	near -2.1ATR	—	0.51	44%	↔ -0.05	above_value	-0.13	—	#107178	0.64	bull_medium	+2.26%	-0.27	02/10 03:00 upd 02/10 04:12	↗
15m #200660	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.586	normal	range_medium	40%	noisy_chop 44%	early 1b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.41	32%	↔ +0.07	above_value	+0.36	—	#107023	0.77	bull_low	+1.42%	-0.18	02/10 03:45 upd 02/10 04:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #171608	fresh	2026-10-02 03:00	0s	0.435	0.462	70/78	2026-10-02 04:00	2026-10-02 04:35
4h #171685	fresh	2026-10-02 00:00	0s	0.467	0.554	65/78	2026-10-02 04:00	2026-10-02 04:37
1d #170911	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	8h	0.611	0.751	20/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #107100	fresh	2026-10-02 03:45	0s	$14.3145	$14.4423	$14.2181	value	0.61	2.82
7d #107178	fresh	2026-10-02 03:00	0s	$14.3857	$14.7872	$13.8161	hvn	-0.13	5.59
30d #107256	fresh	2026-10-02 00:00	0s	$14.2066	$15.5189	$12.2920	hvn	0.53	8.45

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$14.5095 → $14.5723	0.43%	0.79	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.146533	-1.85
below	$14.5768 → $14.6530	0.52%	0.96	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.213783	-2.69

Prix observé : $14.3630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$13.5360 → $13.7601	1.64%	1.29	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.602900	+3.47
below	$15.4409 → $15.7770	2.15%	1.93	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.0779	-6.20

Prix observé : $14.3630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.6140 → $11.1733	5.13%	1.47	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3.1897	+8.36
above	$13.4967 → $13.7118	1.58%	0.56	0.41	reversion	—	↑ $0.651200	+1.71
below	$15.2607 → $15.7770	3.33%	1.35	0.62	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.897700	-2.35

Prix observé : $14.3630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T07:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T07:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}