Observation #12404

← Research Observations / #12404

🪙 LIT page 📊 Market Context

🪙 LIT

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 06:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

05:00–06:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

06:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

07:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$3.8668

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $26,724,324

Synced: 10-02 07:02 +1h

← Prev (10-02 05:00) Next (10-02 07:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · LIT — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.629

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 05:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00016324

Settled at: 2026-10-02 06:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)51,497,198.00

OI (USD)$199,294,156

Mark price$3.8700

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$26,961,680

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 05:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.001%

Change 4h -0.069%

Change 24h +0.656%

Z-score 7d -0.17

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001553%

Percentile 7d 88.1%

Percentile 30d 84.2%

Δ 4h -0.002092%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.987%

Divergence 0.87

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

7.343

OI / Vol z-7d

0.43

OI momentum 4h

-0.982%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+125 crowded

Time: 2026-10-02 05:00:00 OI observed: 04:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 05:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197722	fresh	10h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.460	expansion	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 7b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.59	68%	↑ +0.26	above_value	-1.67	—	#105840	—	bull_high	+13.92%	-0.98	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:27	↗
4h #200899	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.409	normal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 36%	early 14b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.28	21%	↓ -0.50	above_value	-1.51	—	#107239	0.34	bull_high	+4.12%	-0.94	02/10 00:00 upd 02/10 04:19	↗
1h anchor #201641	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.507	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 31%	early 6b 0.0ATR	—	near -0.4ATR	0.38	10%	↓ -0.49	above_value	-1.25	—	#107631	0.35	bull_medium	+2.47%	-0.30	02/10 05:00 upd 02/10 06:13	↗
15m #201562	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.590	compression	range_medium	40%	noisy_chop 43%	early 5b 0.6ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	0.73	22%	↓ -0.43	above_value	-1.16	—	#107473	0.36	bull_low	+1.48%	+0.07	02/10 05:45 upd 02/10 06:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #171902	fresh	2026-10-02 05:00	0s	0.378	0.393	78/78	2026-10-02 06:00	2026-10-02 06:37
4h #171745	fresh	2026-10-02 00:00	2h	0.277	0.270	78/78	2026-10-02 04:00	2026-10-02 04:39
1d #170972	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	10h	0.326	0.356	75/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #107552	fresh	2026-10-02 05:45	0s	$3.8624	$3.9690	$3.8217	hvn	0.16	5.48
7d #107631	fresh	2026-10-02 05:00	0s	$3.9547	$4.4575	$3.6412	hvn	-1.26	11.62
30d #107317	fresh	2026-10-02 00:00	2h	$4.7295	$5.1797	$4.2262	between	-4.35	4.81

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$3.7404 → $3.7712	0.82%	1.14	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.095623	+3.55
below	$3.9690 → $4.0042	0.88%	1.31	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.102227	-3.80

Prix observé : $3.8668. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$3.6175 → $3.6530	0.98%	0.51	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.213805	+3.04
below	$4.1144 → $4.3156	4.77%	2.86	0.72	reversion	✓	↓ $0.247630	-3.52
below	$4.5640 → $4.5995	0.77%	0.51	0.61	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.697233	-9.92
below	$4.9663 → $5.0373	1.42%	1.01	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.0995	-15.64

Prix observé : $3.8668. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$3.4670 → $3.6789	5.93%	1.07	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.187920	+0.95
below	$5.3033 → $5.5858	5.19%	1.42	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.4365	-7.24

Prix observé : $3.8668. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T09:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T09:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}