Observation #12454

← Research Observations / #12454

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 07:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

06:00–07:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

07:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

08:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.225210

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,999,060

Synced: 10-02 08:01 +1h

← Prev (10-02 06:00) Next (10-02 08:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5902

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 06:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00046796

Settled at: 2026-10-02 07:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)98,770,940.00

OI (USD)$22,250,130

Mark price$0.225270

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,952,800

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 06:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.445%

Change 4h -0.013%

Change 24h -3.714%

Z-score 7d 0.08

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 55.4%

Percentile 30d 80.1%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.332%

Divergence 0.96

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.720

OI / Vol z-7d

0.07

OI momentum 4h

+0.008%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+360 crowded

Time: 2026-10-02 06:00:00 OI observed: 05:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 06:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197662	fresh	11h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.546	volatile_reversal	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 37%	early 20b 0.7ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.96	84%	↑ +0.68	above_value	+0.54	—	#105812	0.58	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.81	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:24	↗
4h #200818	fresh	3h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.562	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 34%	early 17b 0.2ATR	—	—	0.42	62%	↓ -0.30	value	+1.19	—	#107212	0.69	bull_high	+4.12%	-0.62	02/10 00:00 upd 02/10 04:15	↗
1h anchor #202003	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.428	compression	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 9b 1.3ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	0.57	48%	↓ -0.49	above_value	+2.57	—	#107759	0.62	bull_medium	+2.35%	+0.04	02/10 06:00 upd 02/10 07:10	↗
15m #201927	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.618	expansion	bull_medium	62%	noisy_chop 43%	early 1b 0.8ATR	—	—	1.69	65%	↑ +0.75	above_value	+2.82	—	#107603	0.70	bull_low	+1.29%	+0.10	02/10 06:45 upd 02/10 07:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #171953	fresh	2026-10-02 06:00	0s	0.503	0.535	44/79	2026-10-02 07:00	2026-10-02 07:36
4h #171719	fresh	2026-10-02 00:00	3h	0.488	0.609	56/78	2026-10-02 04:00	2026-10-02 04:38
1d #170945	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	11h	0.522	0.679	47/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #107682	fresh	2026-10-02 06:45	0s	$0.219262	$0.220630	$0.217894	between	5.35	2.46
7d #107759	fresh	2026-10-02 06:00	0s	$0.219084	$0.229260	$0.216446	hvn	2.57	5.38
30d #107290	fresh	2026-10-02 00:00	3h	$0.217778	$0.235650	$0.191107	hvn	0.71	7.11

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.223807 → $0.224512	0.32%	0.63	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.000698	+0.63
below	$0.226013 → $0.227160	0.51%	1.03	0.92	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000803	-0.72

Prix observé : $0.225210. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.207150 → $0.209411	1.09%	0.95	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.015799	+6.63
above	$0.212426 → $0.214185	0.82%	0.74	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.011025	+4.62
below	$0.233783 → $0.237300	1.49%	1.48	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.008573	-3.60

Prix observé : $0.225210. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.171310 → $0.174610	1.91%	0.53	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.050600	+8.08
above	$0.197706 → $0.207055	4.62%	1.49	0.55	reversion	✓	↑ $0.018155	+2.90
below	$0.233451 → $0.237300	1.64%	0.61	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.008241	-1.32

Prix observé : $0.225210. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T10:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T11:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T10:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}