Observation #12477

← Research Observations / #12477

🪙 MEGA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MEGA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 07:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

06:00–07:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

07:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

08:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.048256

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $6,513,783

Synced: 10-02 08:02 +1h

← Prev (10-02 06:00) Next (10-02 08:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MEGA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5902

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 06:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.006171%

Annualized54.06%

Premium0.00099366

Settled at: 2026-10-02 07:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)191,124,462.00

OI (USD)$9,223,858

Mark price$0.048261

Funding next0.006051%

Day vol (USD)$6,511,164

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 06:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.988%

Change 4h -0.335%

Change 24h +10.886%

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.003412%

Avg 24h 0.002374%

Percentile 7d 89.3%

Percentile 30d 86.5%

Δ 4h +0.002162%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -5.060%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.442

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

-0.964%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+925 crowded

Time: 2026-10-02 06:00:00 OI observed: 05:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 06:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 25 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197713	fresh	11h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.593	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	70%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 2b 1.7ATR	—	—	4.81	95%	↑ +0.40	value	+3.06	—	#105836	0.38	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.96	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:27	↗
4h #200890	fresh	3h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.856	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 43%	early 3b 0.6ATR	—	—	1.84	97%	↑ +0.96	above_value	-1.91	inside	#107236	0.43	bull_high	+4.12%	+0.74	02/10 00:00 upd 02/10 04:18	↗
1h anchor #202027	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.592	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 8b -0.8ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.66	94%	↓ -0.58	value	-2.24	—	#107782	0.36	bull_medium	+2.35%	+0.09	02/10 06:00 upd 02/10 07:11	↗
15m #201872	fresh	15min	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.372	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 47%	early 10b -1.5ATR	—	—	1.36	80%	↓ -0.33	value	-2.02	—	#107627	0.24	bull_low	+1.48%	-0.75	02/10 06:30 upd 02/10 06:48	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #171976	fresh	2026-10-02 06:00	0s	0.543	0.589	33/79	2026-10-02 07:00	2026-10-02 07:37
4h #171741	fresh	2026-10-02 00:00	3h	0.598	0.672	19/78	2026-10-02 04:00	2026-10-02 04:39
1d #170968	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	11h	0.816	0.914	3/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #107705	fresh	2026-10-02 06:45	0s	$0.053390	$0.055493	$0.050513	hvn	-7.23	7.01
7d #107782	fresh	2026-10-02 06:00	0s	$0.052789	$0.055872	$0.046425	value	-2.24	4.66
30d #107314	fresh	2026-10-02 00:00	3h	$0.042090	$0.047513	$0.038379	lvn LVN	2.58	3.36

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.045963 → $0.046822	1.85%	1.21	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001434	+2.02
below	$0.048882 → $0.049741	1.74%	1.21	0.56	reversion	✓	↓ $0.000626	-0.88
below	$0.055407 → $0.056266	1.54%	1.21	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.007151	-10.06

Prix observé : $0.048256. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.040521 → $0.041571	2.56%	0.52	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006685	+3.30
below	$0.048918 → $0.050230	2.65%	0.65	0.51	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.000662	-0.33

Prix observé : $0.048256. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.033432 → $0.036477	8.71%	1.12	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.011779	+4.33
inside	$0.047894 → $0.049987	4.28%	0.77	0.72	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.048256. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T10:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T11:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T10:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}