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← Research Observations / #12703
🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context
🪙 XPL
Market snapshot at
2026-10-02 10:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
09:00–10:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
10:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
11:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.100720
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $34,131,339
Synced: 10-02 11:02 +1h
← Prev (10-02 09:00) Next (10-02 11:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_expansion
Environmenttrend_expansion
Participationmixed_dispersion
Leadershipmixed
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.7486
evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 09:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.003043%
Annualized26.66%
Premium0.00074344
Settled at: 2026-10-02 10:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)987,884,180.00
OI (USD)$99,667,635
Mark price$0.100890
Funding next0.003167%
Day vol (USD)$32,558,556
Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 09:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +0.510%
Change 4h +4.851%
Change 24h +3.250%
Z-score 7d 0.35
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001250%
Percentile 7d 67.3%
Percentile 30d 76.5%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑
Price Δ 4h +2.246%
Divergence -0.64
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
3.331
OI / Vol z-7d
1.50
OI momentum 4h
+5.240%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+370 crowded
Time: 2026-10-02 09:00:00 OI observed: 08:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 09:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197694
 fresh 14h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.665 expansion_after_compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 39% early 6b 0.0ATR — near -0.2ATR 0.81 88% ↑ +0.84 below_value -8.06 — #105827 0.54 bull_high +13.92% +0.54
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
 ↗
4h
#202480
 fresh 2h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.609 compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 37% early 10b 0.2ATR — — 1.43 84% ↔ -0.12 value +1.44 — #107926 0.48 bull_high +4.41% -0.14
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 08:18
 ↗
1h anchor
#203242
 fresh 0s ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.551 expansion bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 37% late 1b 1.6ATR — near -1.8ATR 3.86 89% ↑ +0.52 value +2.50 — #108309 0.47 bull_medium_confirmed +2.50% +0.21
02/10 09:00
upd 02/10 10:12
 ↗
15m
#203165
 fresh 0s ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.611 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 42% mid 1b 1.2ATR — — 0.90 88% ↑ +0.56 above_value +1.85 — #108154 0.65 bull_low +1.24% +0.40
02/10 09:45
upd 02/10 10:04
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#172276
 fresh 2026-10-02 09:00 0s 0.725 0.632 10/77 2026-10-02 10:00 2026-10-02 10:37
4h
#172120
 fresh 2026-10-02 04:00 2h 0.420 0.458 62/77 2026-10-02 08:00 2026-10-02 08:39
1d
#170959
 fresh 2026-09-30 20:00 14h 0.450 0.585 65/77 2026-10-01 20:00 2026-10-01 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#108231
 fresh 2026-10-02 09:45 0s $0.096985 $0.100280 $0.095526 between 2.76 3.52
7d
#108309
 fresh 2026-10-02 09:00 0s $0.096719 $0.110761 $0.092841 value 2.50 9.71
30d
#108002
 fresh 2026-10-02 04:00 2h $0.095188 $0.110166 $0.084314 hvn 0.86 6.15

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
below $0.101198 → $0.103200 1.96% 1.48 0.74 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.000478 -0.35

Prix observé : $0.100720. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.090434 → $0.093376 3.20% 1.59 0.69 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.007344 +3.98
below $0.102203 → $0.103272 1.04% 0.58 0.54 reversion ✓ ↓ $0.001483 -0.80
below $0.118518 → $0.122530 3.33% 2.17 0.74 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.017798 -9.64

Prix observé : $0.100720. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.076517 → $0.080621 5.22% 0.98 0.74 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.020099 +4.78
below $0.117963 → $0.125760 6.40% 1.85 0.73 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.017243 -4.10

Prix observé : $0.100720. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T13:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T13:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}