Observation #12861

← Research Observations / #12861

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.099537

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $39,977,153

Synced: 10-02 13:02 +1h

← Prev (10-02 11:00) Next (10-02 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 11:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00044145

Settled at: 2026-10-02 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)982,270,226.00

OI (USD)$97,395,040

Mark price$0.099153

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$39,679,159

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 11:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.713%

Change 4h +4.319%

Change 24h +8.051%

Z-score 7d -1.41

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001861%

Avg 24h 0.001346%

Percentile 7d 69.6%

Percentile 30d 80.3%

Δ 4h +0.000611%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +1.100%

Divergence -0.86

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.551

OI / Vol z-7d

0.43

OI momentum 4h

+2.030%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+372 crowded

Time: 2026-10-02 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197694	fresh	16h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.665	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 39%	early 6b 0.0ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.81	88%	↑ +0.84	below_value	-8.06	—	#105827	0.54	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.54	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:26	↗
4h #204124	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.630	compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 36%	early 11b 0.4ATR	—	—	3.09	97%	↔ +0.10	above_value	+1.41	—	#108624	0.48	bull_high	+3.04%	-0.29	02/10 08:00 upd 02/10 12:19	↗
1h anchor #204122	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.689	volatile_reversal	bull_high	49%	noisy_chop 35%	early 1b 0.6ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.89	51%	↑ +0.79	above_value	+1.41	—	#108624	0.47	bull_medium	+1.01%	+0.16	02/10 11:00 upd 02/10 12:19	↗
15m #203952	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.704	volatile_reversal	bull_high	49%	noisy_chop 33%	early 5b -0.2ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.32	66%	↔ -0.03	value	+1.15	—	#108466	0.58	range_low	-0.22%	+0.16	02/10 11:45 upd 02/10 12:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #172432	fresh	2026-10-02 11:00	0s	0.610	0.612	24/78	2026-10-02 12:00	2026-10-02 12:37
4h #172510	fresh	2026-10-02 08:00	0s	0.563	0.520	34/78	2026-10-02 12:00	2026-10-02 12:39
1d #170959	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	16h	0.450	0.585	65/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #108545	fresh	2026-10-02 11:45	0s	$0.096965	$0.100898	$0.096179	value	1.47	2.69
7d #108624	fresh	2026-10-02 11:00	0s	$0.096719	$0.111029	$0.093644	hvn	1.41	7.35
30d #108703	fresh	2026-10-02 08:00	0s	$0.097650	$0.109756	$0.084314	hvn	0.41	5.65

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.093695 → $0.095268	1.66%	0.90	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004269	+2.44
below	$0.102471 → $0.103630	1.12%	0.66	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002934	-1.67

Prix observé : $0.099537. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.090434 → $0.093644	3.49%	1.36	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005893	+2.49
below	$0.117983 → $0.122530	3.78%	1.92	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.018446	-7.80

Prix observé : $0.099537. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.076517 → $0.080210	4.71%	0.82	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.019327	+4.29
below	$0.117963 → $0.125760	6.40%	1.73	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.018426	-4.09

Prix observé : $0.099537. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T15:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T15:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}