Observation #12951

← Research Observations / #12951

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 13:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

12:00–13:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

13:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

14:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.782310

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,937,224

Synced: 10-02 14:02 +1h

← Prev (10-02 12:00) Next (10-02 14:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4074

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 12:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00004948

Settled at: 2026-10-02 13:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,699,154.00

OI (USD)$30,162,198

Mark price$0.779402

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,014,647

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 12:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.155%

Change 4h -0.038%

Change 24h -1.351%

Z-score 7d -0.22

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001284%

Percentile 7d 34.5%

Percentile 30d 64.3%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.210%

Divergence -0.80

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

7.415

OI / Vol z-7d

1.68

OI momentum 4h

-0.088%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+419 crowded

Time: 2026-10-02 12:00:00 OI observed: 11:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 12:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197720	fresh	17h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.727	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	72%	noisy_chop 42%	early 5b 1.0ATR	—	—	0.92	91%	↑ +0.79	value	-1.05	—	#105839	0.65	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.98	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:27	↗
4h #204158	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.583	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 36%	early 20b -0.9ATR	near -0.9ATR	—	1.11	68%	↓ -0.30	below_value	-1.79	—	#108635	0.53	bull_high	+3.04%	-0.79	02/10 08:00 upd 02/10 12:20	↗
1h anchor #204512	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.499	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 35%	early 3b -0.9ATR	near -1.4ATR	—	1.80	47%	↑ +0.73	value	-1.72	—	#108872	0.51	bull_medium	+0.80%	-0.15	02/10 12:00 upd 02/10 13:12	↗
15m #204431	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.289	volatile_reversal	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 35%	early 3b -0.6ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	1.98	90%	↓ -0.23	below_value	-1.79	—	#108635	0.59	range_low	-0.39%	-0.04	02/10 12:45 upd 02/10 13:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #172599	fresh	2026-10-02 12:00	0s	0.495	0.406	59/78	2026-10-02 13:00	2026-10-02 13:37
4h #172521	fresh	2026-10-02 08:00	1h	0.447	0.498	71/78	2026-10-02 12:00	2026-10-02 12:39
1d #170971	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	17h	0.586	0.745	25/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #108793	fresh	2026-10-02 12:45	0s	$0.795589	$0.800172	$0.782787	between	-2.04	2.67
7d #108872	fresh	2026-10-02 12:00	0s	$0.802983	$0.861927	$0.781486	value	-1.72	6.71
30d #108714	fresh	2026-10-02 08:00	1h	$0.803586	$0.932660	$0.626855	value	-0.73	11.16

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.770460 → $0.774253	0.49%	0.58	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.008057	+1.24
below	$0.802701 → $0.808390	0.71%	0.87	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.020391	-3.13

Prix observé : $0.782310. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.766230 → $0.775938	1.26%	0.81	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006372	+0.53
below	$0.906309 → $0.932660	2.87%	2.20	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.123999	-10.34

Prix observé : $0.782310. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.456080 → $0.495795	8.34%	1.45	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.286515	+10.45
above	$0.726142 → $0.769828	5.84%	1.59	0.75	reversion	✓	↑ $0.012482	+0.46
below	$0.900888 → $0.932660	3.47%	1.16	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.118578	-4.33

Prix observé : $0.782310. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T16:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T16:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}