Observation #13015

← Research Observations / #13015

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 14:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

13:00–14:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

14:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

15:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.0747

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $7,590,109

Synced: 10-02 15:01 +1h

← Prev (10-02 13:00) Next (10-02 15:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2634

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 13:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00008047

Settled at: 2026-10-02 14:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,835,612.00

OI (USD)$12,101,309

Mark price$2.0737

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$6,639,516

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 13:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.169%

Change 4h +1.204%

Change 24h +2.535%

Z-score 7d -0.10

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000388%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -4.493%

Divergence -2.82 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.894

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.59

OI momentum 4h

-1.006%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

+15 crowded

Time: 2026-10-02 13:00:00 OI observed: 12:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 13:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197677	fresh	18h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.535	compression	bull_high	49%	noisy_chop 33%	mid 33b -0.1ATR	—	—	1.85	86%	↑ +0.29	above_value	-0.46	—	#105819	0.47	bull_high	+13.92%	-0.51	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:25	↗
4h #204106	fresh	2h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.730	normal	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 34%	early 7b 0.8ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	1.94	78%	↑ +0.58	above_value	+2.07	—	#108618	0.31	bull_high	+3.04%	+0.39	02/10 08:00 upd 02/10 12:18	↗
1h anchor #204884	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.644	expansion_after_compression	range_high	37%	noisy_chop 39%	late 5b -1.0ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	1.47	84%	↑ +0.82	above_value	+1.04	—	#109013	0.52	range_medium	+0.34%	+0.08	02/10 13:00 upd 02/10 14:12	↗
15m #204806	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	0.346	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 39%	late 17b -2.3ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	1.35	85%	↓ -0.33	above_value	+1.68	—	#108855	0.38	bear_low	-0.77%	-0.27	02/10 13:45 upd 02/10 14:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #172661	fresh	2026-10-02 13:00	0s	0.517	0.440	46/78	2026-10-02 14:00	2026-10-02 14:36
4h #172505	fresh	2026-10-02 08:00	2h	0.622	0.584	18/78	2026-10-02 12:00	2026-10-02 12:39
1d #170952	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	18h	0.392	0.514	74/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #108934	fresh	2026-10-02 13:45	0s	$2.0679	$2.1451	$2.0452	value	0.33	4.81
7d #109013	fresh	2026-10-02 13:00	0s	$2.0714	$2.1590	$2.0270	hvn	1.04	4.03
30d #108697	fresh	2026-10-02 08:00	2h	$1.9919	$2.2523	$1.9422	hvn	2.26	4.50

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.0378 → $2.0496	0.58%	0.57	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.025140	+1.21
below	$2.0760 → $2.0878	0.56%	0.57	0.69	reversion	✓	↓ $0.001320	-0.06
below	$2.1936 → $2.2142	0.93%	0.99	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.118920	-5.72

Prix observé : $2.0747. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.9299 → $1.9676	1.94%	1.15	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.107058	+3.26
below	$2.2022 → $2.2534	2.30%	1.56	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.127479	-3.89

Prix observé : $2.0747. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.8135 → $1.9130	5.34%	1.44	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.161750	+2.35
below	$2.4395 → $2.5155	3.07%	1.10	0.90	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.364750	-5.29

Prix observé : $2.0747. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T17:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T17:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}