Observation #13123

← Research Observations / #13123

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$84,281.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,533,698,203

Synced: 10-02 17:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-02 15:00) Next (10-02 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0625

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 15:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00030301

Settled at: 2026-10-02 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,442.75

OI (USD)$3,151,705,900

Mark price$84,174.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,505,227,858

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 15:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.478%

Change 4h +0.715%

Change 24h +9.003%

Z-score 7d -0.44

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001022%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.214%

Divergence -2.24 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.898

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.91

OI momentum 4h

-3.075%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+20 crowded

Time: 2026-10-02 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197472	fresh	20h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.604	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 16b 1.1ATR	—	—	0.81	49%	↔ +0.10	above_value	+1.86	—	#105765	—	—	—	—	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:15	↗
4h #205629	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.701	expansion	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 41%	early 1b -0.3ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	1.27	80%	↑ +0.28	above_value	+0.35	—	#109113	—	—	—	—	02/10 12:00 upd 02/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #205628	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.527	volatile_reversal	range_medium	31%	noisy_chop 43%	late 7b -1.9ATR	—	—	0.43	51%	↑ +0.53	above_value	+0.35	—	#109113	—	—	—	—	02/10 15:00 upd 02/10 16:05	↗
15m #205550	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.311	compression	bear_low	46%	noisy_chop 47%	late 25b -1.8ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.36	48%	↓ -0.31	above_value	+0.35	—	#109113	—	—	—	—	02/10 15:45 upd 02/10 16:00	↗
5m #205549	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.715	compression	bear_low	45%	noisy_chop 40%	early 8b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.59	58%	↓ -0.70	above_value	+0.35	—	#109113	—	—	—	—	02/10 15:55 upd 02/10 16:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #172763	fresh	2026-10-02 15:00	0s	0.560	0.485	19/84	2026-10-02 16:00	2026-10-02 16:35
4h #172847	fresh	2026-10-02 12:00	0s	0.590	0.489	9/84	2026-10-02 16:00	2026-10-02 16:37
1d #170898	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	20h	0.616	0.707	19/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #109192	fresh	2026-10-02 15:45	0s	$86,401.87	$87,009.07	$85,088.63	lvn LVN	-6.80	6.15
7d #109277	fresh	2026-10-02 15:00	0s	$84,014.75	$84,853.97	$83,058.43	hvn	0.44	2.97
30d #109362	fresh	2026-10-02 12:00	0s	$84,067.17	$87,471.00	$78,359.20	hvn	0.08	8.80

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$83,846.00 → $84,043.69	0.24%	0.63	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $237.31	+0.76
inside	$84,241.38 → $84,495.56	0.30%	0.81	0.66	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$86,980.83 → $87,235.00	0.29%	0.81	0.55	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,699.83	-8.65

Prix observé : $84,281.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$85,634.63 → $86,024.97	0.45%	0.65	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,353.63	-2.24
below	$86,688.53 → $87,235.00	0.63%	0.91	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,407.53	-3.99

Prix observé : $84,281.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$74,903.00 → $75,531.40	0.84%	0.61	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $8,749.60	+8.45
above	$81,605.93 → $82,967.47	1.65%	1.32	0.68	reversion	✓	↑ $1,313.53	+1.27
below	$86,737.87 → $87,471.00	0.84%	0.71	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,456.87	-2.37

Prix observé : $84,281.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	16:05	16:20	+0.00%	+0.00×	+0.16×	-0.08×	5m	5m	Tied	0.13	0.00%	+0.00%	2.99%	0.17%	$21.40M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	16:05	17:05	+0.15%	+0.22×	+0.28×	-0.27×	25m	45m	High first	0.14	0.00%	+0.15%	42.86%	0.38%	$72.57M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	16:05	20:05	+0.09%	+0.13×	+0.32×	-0.27×	3h50m	45m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	+0.09%	22.92%	0.41%	$172.74M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	16:05	04:05	+0.25%	+0.37×	+0.58×	-0.27×	8h	45m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+0.25%	15.78%	0.59%	$308.07M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	16:05	16:05	+0.58%	+0.84×	+1.12×	-0.27×	22h5m	45m	Low first	0.07	0.00%	+0.58%	13.85%	0.96%	$590.57M	13:40 / —	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T19:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T19:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}