Observation #13138

← Research Observations / #13138

🪙 LINK page 📊 Market Context

🪙 LINK

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$13.5850

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $35,591,690

Synced: 10-02 17:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-02 15:00) Next (10-02 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · LINK — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0625

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 15:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001147%

Annualized-10.05%

Premium-0.00059178

Settled at: 2026-10-02 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,863,883.20

OI (USD)$79,725,356

Mark price$13.5960

Funding next-0.001138%

Day vol (USD)$36,002,139

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 15:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -5.626%

Change 4h -5.623%

Change 24h -1.349%

Z-score 7d -3.97 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000980%

Percentile 7d 96.4% top

Percentile 30d 88.5%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -4.640%

Divergence -0.46

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.001

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.88

OI momentum 4h

-6.550%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

+19 crowded

Time: 2026-10-02 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197537	fresh	20h	↑ up	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.651	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 15b 1.2ATR	—	—	1.41	97%	↑ +0.79	above_value	+0.25	—	#105778	0.83	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.85	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:18	↗
4h #205661	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.714	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 22b -1.8ATR	near -1.4ATR	—	3.09	99%	↔ -0.02	below_value	-3.70	—	#109292	0.62	bull_high	+1.76%	-0.84	02/10 12:00 upd 02/10 16:13	↗
1h anchor #205660	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.419	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	45%	noisy_chop 41%	late 1b -3.0ATR	—	—	0.60	51%	↑ +0.63	below_value	-3.70	inside	#109292	0.63	range_medium	-0.23%	-0.47	02/10 15:00 upd 02/10 16:13	↗
15m #205563	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.491	volatile_reversal	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 39%	late 5b -2.4ATR	—	—	0.35	82%	↑ +0.19	below_value	-3.34	—	#109128	0.68	bear_low	-1.15%	-0.30	02/10 15:45 upd 02/10 16:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #172778	fresh	2026-10-02 15:00	0s	0.433	0.267	71/84	2026-10-02 16:00	2026-10-02 16:35
4h #172862	fresh	2026-10-02 12:00	0s	0.530	0.354	25/84	2026-10-02 16:00	2026-10-02 16:38
1d #170911	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	20h	0.611	0.751	20/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #109207	fresh	2026-10-02 15:45	0s	$14.2570	$14.6530	$13.8976	between	-5.14	5.78
7d #109292	fresh	2026-10-02 15:00	0s	$14.3870	$14.8719	$13.8806	lvn LVN	-3.70	4.57
30d #109377	fresh	2026-10-02 12:00	0s	$14.2066	$15.4328	$12.3350	value	-1.32	7.28

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$13.1910 → $13.4103	1.65%	1.68	0.48	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.174700	+1.34
below	$13.7271 → $13.9464	1.58%	1.68	0.48	continuation_down	—	↓ $0.142067	-1.09
below	$14.0073 → $14.1048	0.69%	0.75	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.422283	-3.23
below	$14.4824 → $14.5799	0.67%	0.75	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.897433	-6.87

Prix observé : $13.5850. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$13.1910 → $13.6220	3.21%	1.99	0.85	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$15.5615 → $15.7770	1.38%	0.99	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.9765	-9.12

Prix observé : $13.5850. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.6140 → $11.2164	5.52%	1.42	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2.3687	+5.57
below	$15.0886 → $15.7770	4.46%	1.62	0.56	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.5036	-3.53

Prix observé : $13.5850. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T19:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T19:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}