Observation #13393

← Research Observations / #13393

🪙 LINK page 📊 Market Context

🪙 LINK

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$13.7290

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $31,926,325

Synced: 10-02 20:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-02 18:00) Next (10-02 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · LINK — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4615

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 18:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000528%

Annualized4.62%

Premium-0.00045779

Settled at: 2026-10-02 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,854,105.20

OI (USD)$80,353,448

Mark price$13.7260

Funding next0.000447%

Day vol (USD)$32,001,564

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.057%

Change 4h -6.721%

Change 24h -3.106%

Z-score 7d 0.03

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000164%

Avg 24h 0.000855%

Percentile 7d 8.3%

Percentile 30d 6.1%

Δ 4h -0.001414%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.535%

Divergence 2.60 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.497

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.55

OI momentum 4h

-7.390%

Funding +ratio 24h

80.0%

Sign streak

-3

Time: 2026-10-02 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197537	fresh	23h	↑ up	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.651	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 15b 1.2ATR	—	—	1.41	97%	↑ +0.79	above_value	+0.25	—	#105778	0.83	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.85	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:18	↗
4h #205661	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.714	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 22b -1.8ATR	near -1.4ATR	—	3.09	99%	↔ -0.02	below_value	-3.70	—	#109292	0.62	bull_high	+1.76%	-0.84	02/10 12:00 upd 02/10 16:13	↗
1h anchor #206987	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	0.360	expansion	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 43%	late 4b -1.7ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	0.41	32%	↑ +0.36	below_value	-3.34	—	#109887	0.63	range_medium	+0.05%	-0.42	02/10 18:00 upd 02/10 19:09	↗
15m #206907	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.379	compression	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 44%	late 17b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.07	25%	↓ -0.90	below_value	-3.53	—	#109717	0.67	range_low	-0.66%	-0.26	02/10 18:45 upd 02/10 19:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #173114	fresh	2026-10-02 18:00	0s	0.474	0.356	57/84	2026-10-02 19:00	2026-10-02 19:35
4h #172862	fresh	2026-10-02 12:00	3h	0.530	0.354	25/84	2026-10-02 16:00	2026-10-02 16:38
1d #170911	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	23h	0.611	0.751	20/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #109802	fresh	2026-10-02 18:45	0s	$14.4276	$14.6530	$13.7027	value	-8.12	11.04
7d #109887	fresh	2026-10-02 18:00	0s	$14.3870	$14.8935	$13.9022	between	-3.34	5.03
30d #109377	fresh	2026-10-02 12:00	3h	$14.2066	$15.4328	$12.3350	value	-1.32	7.28

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$13.1910 → $13.4103	1.65%	2.55	0.42	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.318700	+3.70
below	$13.7636 → $13.9464	1.32%	2.12	0.42	continuation_down	—	↓ $0.034617	-0.40
below	$14.0073 → $14.1048	0.69%	1.13	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.278283	-3.23
below	$14.4824 → $14.5799	0.67%	1.13	0.60	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.753433	-8.75
below	$14.5921 → $14.6530	0.42%	0.71	0.56	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.863083	-10.03

Prix observé : $13.7290. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$13.1910 → $13.6005	3.06%	2.08	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.128550	+0.65
below	$15.5400 → $15.7770	1.51%	1.20	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.8110	-9.18

Prix observé : $13.7290. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.6140 → $11.2164	5.52%	1.42	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2.5127	+5.91
below	$15.0886 → $15.7770	4.46%	1.62	0.56	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.3596	-3.20

Prix observé : $13.7290. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}