Observation #13395

← Research Observations / #13395

🪙 XRP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XRP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.4799

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $180,188,051

Synced: 10-02 20:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-02 18:00) Next (10-02 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XRP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4615

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 18:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00033395

Settled at: 2026-10-02 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)196,312,702.00

OI (USD)$290,444,643

Mark price$1.4795

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$180,986,375

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.771%

Change 4h -8.870%

Change 24h -2.065%

Z-score 7d -0.57

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001931%

Percentile 7d 95.8% top

Percentile 30d 92.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.093%

Divergence 3.92 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.610

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.92

OI momentum 4h

-4.678%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+382 crowded

Time: 2026-10-02 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197547	fresh	23h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.672	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	early 15b 0.4ATR	—	—	0.60	86%	↑ +0.36	above_value	-1.98	—	#105780	0.87	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.03	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:18	↗
4h #205665	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.509	expansion_after_compression	range_high	34%	noisy_chop 35%	mid 1b -1.1ATR	near -1.5ATR	—	2.49	96%	↑ +0.25	below_value	-2.84	—	#109294	0.73	bull_high	+1.76%	-0.31	02/10 12:00 upd 02/10 16:13	↗
1h anchor #206989	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.410	volatile_reversal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 4b -1.1ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.18	14%	↔ +0.02	below_value	-2.57	—	#109889	0.73	range_medium	+0.05%	-0.08	02/10 18:00 upd 02/10 19:09	↗
15m #206909	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.337	compression	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 43%	late 17b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.12	22%	↓ -0.89	below_value	-2.70	—	#109719	0.83	range_low	-0.66%	-0.09	02/10 18:45 upd 02/10 19:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #173116	fresh	2026-10-02 18:00	0s	0.514	0.459	37/84	2026-10-02 19:00	2026-10-02 19:35
4h #172864	fresh	2026-10-02 12:00	3h	0.558	0.394	17/84	2026-10-02 16:00	2026-10-02 16:38
1d #170913	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	23h	0.491	0.650	56/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #109804	fresh	2026-10-02 18:45	0s	$1.5382	$1.5501	$1.4920	lvn LVN	-9.53	9.50
7d #109889	fresh	2026-10-02 18:00	0s	$1.5200	$1.5357	$1.4845	between	-2.57	3.28
30d #109379	fresh	2026-10-02 12:00	3h	$1.5081	$1.5957	$1.4033	value	-1.27	5.88

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.4415 → $1.4463	0.33%	0.78	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.033638	+5.50
inside	$1.4767 → $1.4929	1.09%	2.65	0.63	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$1.5482 → $1.5558	0.49%	1.25	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.068280	-11.17

Prix observé : $1.4799. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.4415 → $1.4601	1.28%	1.19	0.91	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.019800	+1.27
below	$1.5647 → $1.5810	1.03%	1.04	0.94	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.084825	-5.44

Prix observé : $1.4799. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.2487 → $1.2831	2.71%	1.05	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.196842	+6.01
above	$1.3071 → $1.3277	1.56%	0.63	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.152176	+4.65
below	$1.6129 → $1.6610	2.94%	1.47	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.132998	-4.06

Prix observé : $1.4799. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}