Observation #13405

← Research Observations / #13405

🪙 ZRO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ZRO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.7438

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $29,931,450

Synced: 10-02 20:00 +1h

← Prev (10-02 18:00) Next (10-02 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ZRO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4615

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 18:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.005023%

Annualized44.00%

Premium0.00090183

Settled at: 2026-10-02 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)43,397,629.60

OI (USD)$75,741,883

Mark price$1.7453

Funding next0.005468%

Day vol (USD)$29,726,128

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.406%

Change 4h -0.021%

Change 24h +9.269%

Z-score 7d -0.45

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.002790%

Avg 24h 0.003957%

Percentile 7d 78.0%

Percentile 30d 83.8%

Δ 4h -0.002501%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.499%

Divergence -0.56

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.532

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.79

OI momentum 4h

-5.469%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+74 crowded

Time: 2026-10-02 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197583	fresh	23h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.687	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 41%	late 16b 2.0ATR	—	—	1.96	98%	↑ +0.94	above_value	+4.24	—	#105788	0.43	bull_high	+13.92%	+1.00	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:20	↗
4h #205685	fresh	3h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.709	volatile_reversal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	early 1b 0.2ATR	—	—	1.90	98%	↔ -0.10	above_value	-0.09	—	#109304	0.29	bull_high	+1.76%	+0.78	02/10 12:00 upd 02/10 16:14	↗
1h anchor #207000	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.539	expansion	range_high	35%	noisy_chop 39%	late 8b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.27	37%	↑ +0.39	value	-0.62	—	#109899	0.27	range_medium	+0.05%	-0.38	02/10 18:00 upd 02/10 19:10	↗
15m #206919	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.472	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 46%	late 13b -2.3ATR	—	—	0.41	48%	↓ -0.93	above_value	-0.06	—	#109729	0.28	range_low	-0.66%	-0.32	02/10 18:45 upd 02/10 19:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #173126	fresh	2026-10-02 18:00	0s	0.441	0.406	75/84	2026-10-02 19:00	2026-10-02 19:35
4h #172874	fresh	2026-10-02 12:00	3h	0.546	0.603	21/84	2026-10-02 16:00	2026-10-02 16:38
1d #170921	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	23h	0.801	0.979	5/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #109814	fresh	2026-10-02 18:45	0s	$1.9492	$1.9937	$1.8247	lvn LVN	-7.80	6.42
7d #109899	fresh	2026-10-02 18:00	0s	$1.7809	$1.8564	$1.5788	value	-0.62	4.66
30d #109389	fresh	2026-10-02 12:00	3h	$1.5215	$1.9166	$1.3535	value	2.30	4.74

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$1.7333 → $1.7516	1.05%	0.69	0.59	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$1.9846 → $2.0074	1.14%	0.87	0.59	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.240758	-9.14

Prix observé : $1.7438. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.4229 → $1.4960	5.01%	1.23	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.247838	+4.16
below	$1.8954 → $1.9295	1.78%	0.57	0.62	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.151571	-2.55
below	$1.9684 → $2.0074	1.96%	0.65	0.58	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.224633	-3.77

Prix observé : $1.7438. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.917570 → $0.990225	7.62%	0.61	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.753575	+6.34
above	$1.2627 → $1.3535	6.94%	0.76	0.72	reversion	✓	↑ $0.390298	+3.28
below	$1.9438 → $2.0074	3.22%	0.53	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.200027	-1.68

Prix observé : $1.7438. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}