Observation #13406

← Research Observations / #13406

🪙 DOT page 📊 Market Context

🪙 DOT

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.1432

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,819,941

Synced: 10-02 20:00 +1h

← Prev (10-02 18:00) Next (10-02 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · DOT — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4615

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 18:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.003006%

Annualized-26.33%

Premium-0.00074044

Settled at: 2026-10-02 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)4,841,343.00

OI (USD)$5,535,834

Mark price$1.1435

Funding next-0.003020%

Day vol (USD)$2,776,031

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.037%

Change 4h +2.420%

Change 24h -1.484%

Z-score 7d 0.03

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.003681%

Avg 24h 0.000479%

Percentile 7d 0.0% bottom

Percentile 30d 1.3%

Δ 4h -0.004931%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.470%

Divergence -1.05

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.003

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.15

OI momentum 4h

+5.068%

Funding +ratio 24h

76.0%

Sign streak

-4

Time: 2026-10-02 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197587	fresh	23h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.728	expansion	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 41%	early 16b 0.4ATR	—	—	0.83	80%	↑ +0.18	below_value	-3.50	—	#105789	0.61	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.28	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:20	↗
4h #205687	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.510	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	54%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 3b -1.3ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	3.03	91%	↑ +0.31	below_value	-3.71	—	#109305	0.41	bull_high	+1.76%	-0.57	02/10 12:00 upd 02/10 16:14	↗
1h anchor #207001	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.537	expansion	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 40%	late 6b -2.2ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	0.19	15%	↔ +0.11	below_value	-4.82	—	#109900	0.52	range_medium	+0.05%	-0.37	02/10 18:00 upd 02/10 19:10	↗
15m #206920	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.745	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 47%	late 9b -2.1ATR	—	—	0.02	1%	↓ -0.95	below_value	-4.01	—	#109730	0.69	range_low	-0.66%	-0.47	02/10 18:45 upd 02/10 19:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #173127	fresh	2026-10-02 18:00	0s	0.458	0.352	65/84	2026-10-02 19:00	2026-10-02 19:35
4h #172875	fresh	2026-10-02 12:00	3h	0.494	0.356	37/84	2026-10-02 16:00	2026-10-02 16:38
1d #170922	fresh	2026-09-30 20:00	23h	0.498	0.723	51/77	2026-10-01 20:00	2026-10-01 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #109815	fresh	2026-10-02 18:45	0s	$1.1483	$1.2158	$1.1351	hvn	-0.60	9.57
7d #109900	fresh	2026-10-02 18:00	0s	$1.2352	$1.2607	$1.1805	lvn LVN	-4.82	4.20
30d #109390	fresh	2026-10-02 12:00	3h	$1.2006	$1.2607	$1.0473	value	-1.26	5.00

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$1.1551 → $1.1687	1.17%	1.61	0.60	reversion	✓	↓ $0.011867	-1.41
below	$1.1814 → $1.1868	0.46%	0.65	0.73	reversion	✓	↓ $0.038160	-4.53
below	$1.2358 → $1.2412	0.44%	0.65	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.092560	-10.98

Prix observé : $1.1432. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$1.1324 → $1.1484	1.41%	0.84	0.73	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$1.2825 → $1.3073	1.91%	1.30	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.139323	-7.30

Prix observé : $1.1432. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.841690 → $0.903771	7.11%	1.45	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.239429	+5.60
above	$0.911532 → $0.938692	2.94%	0.64	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.204508	+4.79
below	$1.2801 → $1.3073	2.10%	0.64	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.136939	-3.21

Prix observé : $1.1432. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}