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← Research Observations / #13447
🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context
🪙 XPL
Market snapshot at
2026-10-02 19:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
18:00–19:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
19:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
20:16 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.092434
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $49,002,695
Synced: 10-02 20:02 +1h
← Prev (10-02 18:00) Next (10-02 20:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_expansion
Environmenttrend_expansion
Participationbroad_risk_on
Leadershipalts
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.4615
evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 18:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00021731
Settled at: 2026-10-02 19:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)925,587,350.00
OI (USD)$85,341,005
Mark price$0.092202
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$49,344,761
Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -0.868%
Change 4h -5.464%
Change 24h +0.900%
Z-score 7d -0.69
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001346%
Percentile 7d 70.2%
Percentile 30d 76.4%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h +1.490%
Divergence 2.84 fort
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
1.727
OI / Vol z-7d
-0.80
OI momentum 4h
-3.710%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+379 crowded
Time: 2026-10-02 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197694
 fresh 23h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.665 expansion_after_compression bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 39% early 6b 0.0ATR — near -0.2ATR 0.81 88% ↑ +0.84 below_value -8.06 — #105827 0.54 bull_high +13.92% +0.54
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
 ↗
4h
#205803
 fresh 3h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.504 normal bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 40% mid 1b -1.3ATR near -0.2ATR — 2.20 94% ↑ +0.27 below_value -2.18 — #109345 0.49 bull_high +1.76% -0.79
02/10 12:00
upd 02/10 16:19
 ↗
1h anchor
#207041
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.556 volatile_reversal bear_high
42%
noisy_chop 34% late 8b -1.0ATR — — 0.62 46% ↑ +0.48 below_value -1.66 — #109940 0.48 range_medium +0.05% -0.43
02/10 18:00
upd 02/10 19:11
 ↗
15m
#206955
 fresh 0s ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.373 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 51% mid 16b -0.4ATR — — 0.23 33% ↓ -0.65 below_value -2.10 — #109770 0.59 range_low -0.66% -0.42
02/10 18:45
upd 02/10 19:03
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#173166
 fresh 2026-10-02 18:00 0s 0.503 0.416 44/84 2026-10-02 19:00 2026-10-02 19:37
4h
#172914
 fresh 2026-10-02 12:00 3h 0.323 0.233 82/84 2026-10-02 16:00 2026-10-02 16:39
1d
#170959
 fresh 2026-09-30 20:00 23h 0.450 0.585 65/77 2026-10-01 20:00 2026-10-01 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#109855
 fresh 2026-10-02 18:45 0s $0.098784 $0.102673 $0.095733 between -5.53 6.04
7d
#109940
 fresh 2026-10-02 18:00 0s $0.096616 $0.110058 $0.093152 between -1.66 6.70
30d
#109430
 fresh 2026-10-02 12:00 3h $0.097650 $0.109346 $0.084314 value -1.48 5.02

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
below $0.092622 → $0.095613 3.18% 2.60 0.75 reversion ✓ ↓ $0.000188 -0.16
below $0.103032 → $0.103630 0.58% 0.52 0.81 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.010598 -9.23

Prix observé : $0.092434. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.089272 → $0.090658 1.54% 0.55 0.74 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.001776 +0.70
below $0.114215 → $0.116710 2.16% 0.99 0.49 continuation_up — ↓ $0.021781 -8.63
below $0.118650 → $0.122530 3.22% 1.54 0.73 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.026216 -10.39

Prix observé : $0.092434. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.076517 → $0.080210 4.71% 0.74 0.78 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.012224 +2.45
below $0.117963 → $0.125760 6.40% 1.56 0.74 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.025529 -5.12

Prix observé : $0.092434. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}