Observation #13493

← Research Observations / #13493

🪙 ADA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ADA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 20:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

19:00–20:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

20:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

21:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.244280

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $23,664,787

Synced: 10-02 21:00 +1h

← Prev (10-02 19:00) Next (10-02 21:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ADA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5846

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 19:46:15 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.005520%

Annualized-48.35%

Premium-0.00094158

Settled at: 2026-10-02 20:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)159,022,652.00

OI (USD)$38,852,414

Mark price$0.244320

Funding next-0.005443%

Day vol (USD)$23,456,063

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 19:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.103%

Change 4h -1.972%

Change 24h +1.900%

Z-score 7d -0.03

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.006622%

Avg 24h -0.000704%

Percentile 7d 3.6% bottom

Percentile 30d 0.8%

Δ 4h -0.007872%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +2.137%

Divergence 1.97

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.656

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.62

OI momentum 4h

+3.230%

Funding +ratio 24h

64.0%

Sign streak

-4

Time: 2026-10-02 19:00:00 OI observed: 18:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 19:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207588	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.609	expansion	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 39%	early 16b 0.5ATR	—	—	2.23	98%	↑ +0.41	above_value	-0.28	—	#110072	0.79	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.64	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:22	↗
4h #207457	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	weak	grind	0.608	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 30%	early 2b -0.5ATR	near 0.1ATR	near 0.4ATR	1.78	97%	↑ +0.49	above_value	-0.28	—	#110072	0.69	bull_high	+1.96%	-0.16	02/10 16:00 upd 02/10 20:15	↗
1h anchor #207456	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.420	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 40%	early 5b -0.8ATR	near -0.9ATR	—	0.27	60%	↑ +0.31	above_value	-0.28	—	#110072	0.70	range_medium	+0.01%	-0.10	02/10 19:00 upd 02/10 20:15	↗
15m #207344	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.333	compression	bear_medium	64%	noisy_chop 45%	late 20b 1.4ATR	—	—	0.42	73%	↓ -0.70	below_value	-0.90	—	#109902	0.76	range_low	-0.65%	+0.18	02/10 19:45 upd 02/10 20:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #173213	fresh	2026-10-02 19:00	0s	0.568	0.560	33/85	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:36
4h #173297	fresh	2026-10-02 16:00	0s	0.590	0.542	12/85	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:38
1d #173381	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	0s	0.573	0.661	30/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #109987	fresh	2026-10-02 19:45	0s	$0.239445	$0.254851	$0.236770	value	3.47	12.96
7d #110072	fresh	2026-10-02 19:00	0s	$0.245284	$0.255237	$0.242526	hvn	-0.28	3.48
30d #110157	fresh	2026-10-02 16:00	0s	$0.249536	$0.259270	$0.219078	value	-1.04	5.37

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.242305 → $0.243043	0.30%	0.53	0.66	reversion	✓	↑ $0.001237	+0.89
below	$0.246549 → $0.249132	1.04%	1.85	0.77	reversion	✓	↓ $0.002269	-1.63
below	$0.258172 → $0.258910	0.29%	0.53	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.013892	-9.96

Prix observé : $0.244280. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.258835 → $0.265550	2.56%	1.84	0.95	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.014555	-3.98

Prix observé : $0.244280. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.190190 → $0.193958	1.96%	0.50	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.050322	+6.72
above	$0.195842 → $0.202122	3.16%	0.84	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.042158	+5.63
below	$0.259270 → $0.265550	2.39%	0.84	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.014990	-2.00

Prix observé : $0.244280. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T23:46:15+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 825,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T23:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-02T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}