Observation #13551

← Research Observations / #13551

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-02 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$10.8960

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $18,046,803

Synced: 10-02 22:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-02 20:00) Next (10-02 22:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7026

evaluated_at: 2026-10-02 20:46:18 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00036347

Settled at: 2026-10-02 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)3,211,561.04

OI (USD)$35,009,227

Mark price$10.9010

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$20,145,085

Snapshot at: 2026-10-02 20:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.670%

Change 4h -0.396%

Change 24h -4.636%

Z-score 7d -0.36

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000771%

Avg 24h 0.000792%

Percentile 7d 0.6% bottom

Percentile 30d 10.4%

Δ 4h +0.001420%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +3.397%

Divergence 1.68

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.834

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.60

OI momentum 4h

+11.782%

Funding +ratio 24h

80.0%

Sign streak

-5

Time: 2026-10-02 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207477	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.683	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 42%	early 8b 0.8ATR	—	—	0.95	96%	↑ +0.72	value	-1.04	—	#110045	0.72	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.99	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:16	↗
4h #207400	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.563	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 34%	early 20b -0.6ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.65	75%	↔ -0.11	value	-1.04	—	#110045	0.53	bull_high	+1.96%	-0.50	02/10 16:00 upd 02/10 20:13	↗
1h anchor #207999	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.654	expansion	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 6b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.42	82%	↑ +0.59	above_value	-0.42	—	#110300	0.54	range_medium	+0.16%	-0.03	02/10 20:00 upd 02/10 21:09	↗
15m #207920	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.411	compression	range_medium	39%	noisy_chop 50%	late 15b 2.2ATR	—	—	0.21	24%	↑ +0.62	value	-1.04	—	#110045	0.66	range_low	-0.45%	+0.24	02/10 20:45 upd 02/10 21:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #173440	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	0s	0.598	0.558	21/84	2026-10-02 21:00	2026-10-02 21:35
4h #173270	fresh	2026-10-02 16:00	1h	0.488	0.547	43/85	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:37
1d #173354	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	1h	0.583	0.730	28/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #110215	fresh	2026-10-02 20:45	0s	$11.1223	$11.2099	$10.6493	value	-3.37	8.35
7d #110300	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	0s	$10.9638	$11.2999	$10.5964	hvn	-0.42	4.35
30d #110130	fresh	2026-10-02 16:00	1h	$11.0621	$11.5304	$10.1052	value	-1.03	4.12

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.4320 → $10.4881	0.54%	0.84	0.41	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.407933	+6.08
below	$11.1959 → $11.2730	0.69%	1.15	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.299908	-4.47

Prix observé : $10.8960. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.1430 → $10.3306	1.83%	1.16	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.565400	+3.50
below	$11.7689 → $12.0190	2.10%	1.55	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.872867	-5.40

Prix observé : $10.8960. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$8.2321 → $9.3723	12.95%	3.30	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.5237	+4.41

Prix observé : $10.8960. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T00:46:18+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 822,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T00:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}