Observation #13985

← Research Observations / #13985

🪙 DOT page 📊 Market Context

🪙 DOT

Market snapshot at

2026-10-03 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.1516

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,514,736

Synced: 10-03 03:00 +1h

← Prev (10-03 01:00) Next (10-03 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · DOT — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3011

evaluated_at: 2026-10-03 01:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000710%

Annualized6.22%

Premium-0.00044319

Settled at: 2026-10-03 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)4,837,100.00

OI (USD)$5,568,953

Mark price$1.1513

Funding next0.000705%

Day vol (USD)$2,581,476

Snapshot at: 2026-10-03 01:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.118%

Change 4h -0.422%

Change 24h +1.163%

Z-score 7d 0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000205%

Avg 24h 0.000305%

Percentile 7d 10.7%

Percentile 30d 16.1%

Δ 4h -0.001045%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.040%

Divergence -0.29

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.092

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.04

OI momentum 4h

-1.341%

Funding +ratio 24h

76.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-03 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207580	fresh	6h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.727	expansion	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 40%	early 17b 0.2ATR	—	—	1.00	86%	↔ +0.11	below_value	-4.29	—	#110070	0.61	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.34	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:21	↗
4h #209296	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.566	normal	range_high	35%	noisy_chop 37%	early 5b -0.9ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.97	54%	↑ +0.46	below_value	-4.25	—	#110825	0.41	bull_high	+2.13%	-0.37	02/10 20:00 upd 03/10 00:14	↗
1h anchor #210155	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.525	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 3b -1.0ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.32	28%	↓ -0.28	below_value	-4.86	—	#111232	0.51	range_medium	+0.12%	-0.35	03/10 01:00 upd 03/10 02:11	↗
15m #210078	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.755	compression	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 47%	late 14b -0.6ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	1.27	50%	↓ -0.19	below_value	-4.95	—	#111070	0.71	range_low	-0.31%	-0.09	03/10 01:45 upd 03/10 02:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #173957	fresh	2026-10-03 01:00	0s	0.443	0.363	62/80	2026-10-03 02:00	2026-10-03 02:35
4h #173795	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	2h	0.465	0.484	53/82	2026-10-03 00:00	2026-10-03 00:38
1d #173379	fresh	2026-10-01 20:00	6h	0.481	0.657	60/84	2026-10-02 20:00	2026-10-02 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #111151	fresh	2026-10-03 01:45	0s	$1.1527	$1.2084	$1.1324	hvn	-0.18	12.37
7d #111232	fresh	2026-10-03 01:00	0s	$1.2352	$1.2636	$1.1790	between	-4.86	4.92
30d #110907	fresh	2026-10-02 20:00	2h	$1.2006	$1.2607	$1.0512	hvn	-1.02	5.27

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$1.1799 → $1.1989	1.60%	3.09	0.86	reversion	✓	↓ $0.028283	-4.60
below	$1.2317 → $1.2360	0.35%	0.70	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.080083	-13.03

Prix observé : $1.1516. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.1324 → $1.1470	1.28%	0.85	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004625	+0.27
below	$1.2782 → $1.3073	2.25%	1.70	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.126550	-7.36

Prix observé : $1.1516. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.841690 → $0.903771	7.11%	1.56	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.247829	+6.23
above	$0.911532 → $0.938692	2.94%	0.68	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.212908	+5.35
below	$1.2801 → $1.3073	2.10%	0.68	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.128539	-3.23

Prix observé : $1.1516. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T05:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T05:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-03T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}